ADT Championship

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Grace Park to win 16/1 e.w. @ Tote
Recovered extremely well from an opening 75 to finish 4th last week and was only two shots out of the playoff. It extended her run of top-10 finishes to nine, which includes three 2nd place finishes in her last five starts, and her last finish outside the top-10 was at the Evian Masters in July. Having finished in the top-10 in her two previous appearances here, she should extend her run, but in this form she will be aiming much higher and will be disappointed if she still has only one win from this 2003 season.

Karrie Webb to win 16/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Webb has also won only once this year - the John Q. Hammons Hotel Classic in September - but she has been nowhere near as consistent as Park. As a result, there is not as much value in these odds as with Park, but with finishes of 1st and 3rd in the two years of this event at this location (she did lead at one stage in the final round last year before finishing 3rd) and having finished only three shots out of the playoff last week, there is plenty to support a good week this week.

Rachel Teske to win 25/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Teske finished alongside Park in 4th place last week and it extended her run of top-10 finishes to five, including two runners-up positions. She is certainly approaching the form that earned her back-to-back victories in June and can beat Sorenstam at her best. She failed to do so last year though she came extremely close. She held a one-shot lead after 54 holes and battled head-to-head with Sorenstam to be level with two holes to play, but her tee-shot on the 17th landed on the side hill of a hazard and she had to settle for a double-bogey and 2nd place. In her current form and on her performance last year, she certainly does not warrant such a large price.

Matchup plays (3 units unless stated):

Cristie Kerr to beat Laura Diaz -120 @ SkyBet
A 4-0-0 h2h lead over the past three months and a 2-0-0 h2h lead on this course are all that need to be said for this matchup!

Rosie Jones to beat Hee-Won Han +100 @ NordicBet [4.5 units]
Opposing Han on three counts: she lost a playoff last week; she had played poorly in the ten weeks prior to last week's event; and she had never played this course until this week. Jones was only three shots out of the playoff last week and has finished in the top-5 in each of the two years on this course. She shouldn't be too far away this week and this looks a very fair price.

Rachel Teske to beat Hee-Won Han -111 @ Expekt [4.5 units]
Can't believe Expekt make Han the favourite in this match. Teske has been in excellent form recently and was very impressive on this course last year. She should finish even higher up the leaderboard than Jones.

Meg Mallon to beat Candie Kung -118 @ Expekt
Similar story here. Mallon has two top-5 finishes in the two years of this event at this location and Kung is making her debut. She claimed her place in this event with two wins and a runners-up spot in three weeks before the Solheim Cup, but she has yet to finish in the top-10 in any of her six events afterwards. Kung has only beaten Mallon once in this period and should struggle to do so again this week.

Karrie Webb to beat Lorena Ochoa -200 @ NordicBet
And here as well. Ochoa is making her debut, while Webb has finished 1st and 3rd on this course. She also has a 4-0-1 h2h record against Ochoa in the last three months on American soil. Ochoa has been a major disappointment this year and she will need the winter break to be able to raise her game and compete with the best on Tour again.

Adding (1.5 units unless stated):

Rachel Teske to beat Sophie Gustafson -120 @ Five Dimes
Should be a good match with both players in great form and Gustafson having finished 7th in her previous appearance on this course. Will side with the outright selection again for one main reason: this is Gustafson's first tournament back in the United States since she won the Samsung World Championship in controversial circumstances. It has helped to be playing in Asia in the aftermath, but she will struggle to dodge this issue until the season is over.

Rosie Jones to beat Lorena Ochoa -130 @ Five Dimes
Extension of what is said above. Jones has a great record on this course and is very consistent at the moment; Ochoa is not consistent and has yet to play here.

Lorie Kane to beat Mi-Hyun Kim -120 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Rather like Han, Kim has been struggling with her game until last week. It may prove a late-season turning point, but the uncertainty in her game will still remain. She struggled to finish 25th and 14 shots behind Kane last year and will need to finish in the top-10 this year to win this match.

Kelly Robbins to beat Becky Morgan -130 @ Five Dimes
Backing Robbins to use her course experience to beat Morgan who has lost her form and has yet to play this course. Since returning from the Ladies European Tour in August, Morgan has recorded just one top-20 finish and two of her six finishes have been outside the top-60. She will really struggle with that form this week.

Final update:

Matchups: 7-1-1; +20.55 units

Kerr/Diaz WON by 6
Jones/Han WON by 17
Teske/Han WON by 9
Mallon/Kung WON by 22
Webb/Ochoa WON by 10
Teske/Gustafson TIED (Push)
Jones/Ochoa WON by 13
Kane/Kim WON by 6
Robbins/Morgan LOST by 7

Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units

Park 6th
Webb 10th
Teske 13th

What a great way to end the LPGA Tour season! A storming profit in the matchups was just enough to finally bring the season into profit on this Tour. The outright plays have been awful this year - just one in seven was a winner - but at least they have been carried by over 60% winners in the matchups and some rare profitable 18-hole plays. That leaves just the European Tour as being a losing main Tour in 2003.