Canadian Women's Open

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Juli Inkster to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Stunningly large odds for a player who has rediscovered her form in dramatic fashion in the past two months. After a slow start to the season, she has since recorded a win and four further top-10 finishes in her last six starts. She did finish 8th last week, but her 3rd round had taken out of out contention and so there should not be too much of a major Sunday fallout. Her record in the du Maurier Classic is excellent - she won in 1984 and was a top-5 finisher four times from 1995 to 2000. SkyBet offer less than half these odds and so would I!

Lorena Ochoa to win 25/1 e.w. @ William Hill
I'm nothing if not persistent! Siding yet again with the Mexican prodigy who played well and finished 13th last week, but was sufficiently off the pace to not be too tired from the event. She has four top-3 finishes this week and stands a good chance of recording another on a course that has not been used on Tour until this week. Her rookie status will not be a hindrance this week.

Lorie Kane to win 28/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Few can match Kane's form in her home country. On four different courses, she has finished in the top-10 of the last four LPGA events in Canada - two Canadian Women's Opens and two du Maurier Classics. Her current form is impressive as well - three top-3 finishes in her last six starts - and while she does not win enough, she should be a strong contender this week and let one of the other selections win instead!

Rachel Teske to win 28/1 e.w. @ Stan James
I try to limit my outright selections to no more than three so as to limit my liabilities in a market where only one player can win at full odds, but find myself unable to resist any of the four prices available here. Teske's form in Canada is unimpressive - two top-20 finishes in two starts at the du Maurier Classic, but much worse in the Canadian Women's Open - but she is playing the best golf of her career at the moment. After finishing 3rd in the McDonalds LPGA Championship last month, she won both the Giant Eagle LPGA Classic and the Wegmans Rochester LPGA and then finished 13th alongside Ochoa last week. In this form, she can win on any course.

Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Catriona Matthew to beat Laura Davies -105 @ Centrebet
Expecting another good week from Matthew. She continues to frustrate in the outright markets, but is extremely consistent and has a good record in this event on its different courses, including a runners-up spot last year when she had been the leader after 54 holes but shot 77 on the Sunday. The score was surpassed by Davies (79) en route to missing the cut last week and she has now missed two of her last three LPGA cuts and finished 60th on the other occasion. She may have won this title at Edmonton Country Club in 1996, but there is a huge difference in form and I don't why she is the favourite in this matchup.

Catriona Matthew to beat Mhairi McKay -110 @ SkyBet
Playing against two players involved in the heat of battle last week in the next two matchups. McKay looked as though she would dominate the event until she finished with a triple-bogey on the last hole on Friday. She had lost her momentum and the weekend was a struggle even though she only finished three shots outside the playoff. It will surely take its toll on her with another four-day event looming and she missed the cut the week after finishing 2nd in the Kellogg-Keebler Classic in June, a similar result would be no surprise.

Becky Morgan to beat Hilary Lunke -143 @ Expekt
Even more reason to oppose Lunke this week who had a good chance to win the title on the final green on Sunday, played a further 18 holes on Monday and won. She is on the list for Thursday's tee-times, she maybe she will play this week, but it would be no surprise if she withdrew. If she didn't she will face a very daunting task of trying to concentrate in the midst of such media interest. Should be yet another top-10 for Morgan, but making the weekend should be enough if Lunke starts.

Adding (1.5 units):

Sophie Gustafson to beat Hilary Lunke -111 @ BetandWin
Two more U.S. Women's Open angle plays. Gustafson misses rather a lot of cuts - three of her last four - but she did win the Ladies Irish Open on the other occasion. As with Morgan, making the cut should secure the win and Gustafson is certainly capable of doing so.

Cristie Kerr to beat Mhairi McKay -111 @ BetandWin
Kerr is far more likely to make the cut, she has missed just one in her last nine starts and finished 13th last week. It was only the second time in twelve common events that McKay has finished ahead of Kerr this season and she should suffer a letdown from last week's event. Kerr has finished 15th and 5th in the last two years in this event and shouldn't be too far from that mark this time around.

1st round play (1.5 units):

Mi-Hun Kim to beat Becky Morgan -120 @ Five Dimes

1st round update: 0-1-0; -1.80 units

Kim/Morgan LOST by 1

2nd round plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Juli Inkster to beat Grace Park -132 @ Five Dimes
Laura Davies to beat Jeong Jang -121 @ Five Dimes
Beth Bauer to beat Janice Moodie -115 @ Five Dimes [3 units]

2nd round update: 2-1-0; -0.45 units

Inkster/Park WON by 3
Davies/Jang WON by 1
Bauer/Moodie LOST by 6

Mid-point update:

Matthew/Davies Trails by 7
Matthew/McKay WON by 1
Morgan/Lunke WON by 12
Gustafson/Lunke WON by 3
Kerr/McKay VOID (Kerr dns)

Inkster 3rd
Ochoa 38th
Kane mc
Teske 64th

Three of four matchups won at the cut and Inkster right in the hunt for the title. Could be a very event, though after liking so many outrights, it was disappointing that only Inkster is performing.

3rd round plays (1.5 units):

Danna Andrews to beat Carin Koch -127 @ Five Dimes
Heather Bowie to beat Janice Moodie -117 @ Five Dimes

3rd round update: 2-0-0; +3.00 units

Andrews/Koch WON by 4
Bowie/Moodie WON by 1

4th round play (1.5 units):

Jane Crafter to beat Chris Johnson -115 @ Five Dimes

4th round update: 0-1-0; -1.73 units

Crafter/Johnson LOST by 4

Final update:

Matchups: 3-0-1; +4.46 units

Matthew/Davies TIED (Dead heat)

18-holes: 4-3-0; -0.98 units

Outrights: 1-3; -0.56

Inkster 2nd
Ochoa 39th
Teske 24th

Small profit on the event, but so very nearly a decent payout. Inkster held a one-shot lead with two holes to play, but could only par those holes while playing partner, Beth Daniel, birdied them both to steal the win. Pity.