Jamie Farr Kroger Classic
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Karrie Webb to win 12/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Webb will be vying for her first win in twelve months this week and
there are good signs that she is getting closer to that goal. In her
last events, she has eliminated the 'one bad round' that has plagued her
most of the year and the result has been successive top-5 finishes. She
has shown that form in this event already with four top-5 finishes in
six starts and she is generally single-figure odds, so this looks value.
Beth Daniel to win 25/1 e.w. @
William Hill
Daniel also has an impressive record in this event without actually
winning: four top-6 finishes in her last eight attempts and outside the
top25 only once in the last nine. She is also in good form, having won
the Canadian Women's Open last month and followed that with top-15
finishes in the Big Apple Classic and Women's British Open when she had
been high up the leaderboard both times halfway through the event.
Against a relatively weak field, she should be a strong contender with
Pak and Webb for the title.
Candie Kung to win 33/1 e.w. @
William Hill
Kung was certainly a strong challenger last week when she had been the
leader after the 1st and 2nd rounds, but faltered in the 3rd round to
finish 5th. She can win though, as she showed when lifting the Takefuji
Classic title in April and she has shown good form since. She had not
been playing when before this event last year and she will certainly
improve on that 56th place finish.
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Heather Bowie to beat Beth Bauer -118 @
Expekt
[4.5 units]
Cristie Kerr to beat Heather Bowie -110 @ SkyBet
Cristie Kerr to beat Jeong Jang -122 @
Centrebet
Beth Daniel to beat Mi-Hyun Kim -105 @
Expekt
Meg Mallon to beat Laura Diaz -118 @
Centrebet
Jenny Rosales to beat Emilee Klein -110 @ SkyBet
[3 units]
Se Ri Pak to beat Karrie Webb -128 @
Centrebet
Michelle Wie to beat Dottie Pepper -118 @
Expekt
No time left for write-ups, I'm moving house tomorrow!
Final update:
Matchups: 3-4-1; +2.13 units
Bowie/Bauer WON by 10
Kerr/Bowie LOST by 9
Kerr/Jang TIED (Dead heat)
Daniel/Kim LOST by 3
Mallon/Diaz LOST by 2
Rosales/Klein WON by 3
Pak/Webb WON by 8
Wie/Pepper LOST by 7
Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units
Webb mc
Daniel 12th
Kung mc
Won the two large matchup plays to limit the losses on
the event. Won one other matchup which was a hedge play against an
outright and should have looked for two more! Webb and Kung missed the
cut, while Daniel made it by a single shot. Poor performance and lucky
not to have lost more on this event.
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