Longs Drugs Challenge

Outright plays (1.5 units):

Grace Park to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Has only won once this season, but has been incredibly consistent with just one event since the Chick-fil-A Charity Classic in April in which she has not been in contention. This week's weaker field and the move to the very much wider fairways of Lincoln Hills should also suit.

Beth Daniel to win 33/1 e.w. @ Stan James
No problems with Daniel's form either. She has also won once this year and Annika needed back-to-back eagles in her final round to finally get ahead of her last week. Daniel missed out on a playoff by a single shot, but she still recorded her fifth top-5 finish in twelve starts and should not be at this price.

Lorie Kane to win 50/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Nor should Kane as evidenced by SkyBet's 25/1. Unlike the other selections, she has not won this year, but she has been runner-up on three occasions. Her form remains intact with her fifth top-10 finish in ten starts last week and she could certainly snatch a place win even if titles have become a little elusive in the last couple of years.

Matchup plays (1.5 units):

Beth Daniel to beat Sophie Gustafson -115 @ Five Dimes
Had this matchup last week as a win and will back it again at the same odds. It took her three-month h2h against Gustafson to 3-0-0 on this Tour and while Gustafson finished strong on Sunday to claim a top-10 finish it was much less impressive than Daniel's effort to beat the best female player in the world.

Jennifer Rosales to beat Laura Davies -105 @ Five Dimes
Davies' post-Solheim Cup performance was much more muted: she finished 47th. Not quite the form that almost brought her victory in the State Farm Classic in August, but she will need that form if she is to beat Rosales who has been very impressive with finishes of 13th, 12th, 8th and 9th in her last four starts, albeit the last one was before the Solheim Cup.

Grace Park to beat Juli Inkster -108 @ Five Dimes
Also backing the underdog in this matchup, though should be favourite by my calculations. Inkster's form has been good this year, or at least since May, but she has been more prone to bad weeks than Pak and indeed missed the cut in her last outing. Should be a good match unless Inkster has a Solheim Cup hangover.
(also available at Expekt)

Final update:

Matchups: 1-2-0; -1.80 units

Daniel/Gustafson LOST by 6
Rosales/Davies LOST (Rosales wd)
Park/Inkster WON by 5

Outrights: 1-2; -1.98 units

Park 2nd
Daniel 31st
Kane 19th

All three outright selections started very strong, but only Park remained in the hunt and did hold the lead on the back nine on Sunday. A bogey on the 16th hole proved decisive as she finished just a shot behind Helen Alfredsson. It caps a frustrating week of "if only"s.