Office Depot Championship Outright plays
(0.75 units): Grace Park to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Large price for a player who finished 2nd and 4th in the first two events of the
year. She did miss the cut in the 3rd one, but on the tough Missions Hills
course it is very difficult to recover a poor start. Hopefully, she will be
fresh from her rest at the weekend and can emulate Se Ri Pak who missed the cut
in the 1st event this year only to win the 2nd. She had been 21st after the 1st
round last year before withdrawing so at least she has course experience as
well. Cristie Kerr to win 66/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Very consistent this year with finishes of 9th, 11th and 13th. Not good enough
to earn a place return, but very solid form anyway and certainly better than
66/1 would warrant. She did miss the cut last year and maybe this is reflected
in the price, but she had a poor 1st round tee-time (Friday afternoon) last year
and she has the reverse this year. She should avoid the rising winds in the
afternoon around this course this year and be in contention yet again when the
weekend begins. Beth Daniel to finish in the top-four 15/1
@ Centrebet
Stan James also quote Daniel at 66/1, but will take the place-only option
instead. She has played particularly well in her first two events of 2003 to
finish 5th and 7th and she was a runner-up in one of the 2002 Majors (McDonald's
LPGA Championship), but her last win was in 1995. She finished in the top-20
finish last year, but she enters this event in better form and hopefully will
secure a better finish. It also helps that there have been some notable
withdrawals this week.
Matchup plays (0.75 units):
Christina Kim to beat Beth Bauer +103 @ Five
Dimes
Just don't understand this line. In each of the three LPGA Tour events this
year, Kim has finished ahead of Bauer. There does not seem to be a significant
edge in terms of course experience as Bauer finished a lowly 55th last year and
Kim has been studying this course before this week. Michele
Redman to beat Maria Hjorth -118 @
Expekt
Both tied last year in the 20th place and both have had similar starts to the
year, but just siding with Redman as she is the more consistent player and
simply the better one. Lorena Ochoa to beat Laura Davies -111
@ Centrebet
Ochoa was just too short at 14/1 for the outrights, but will take her in the
matchups against Davies. Five Dimes have this match at -150 which looks more
accurate. Davies is playing well at the moment, but Ochoa is simply the better
player.
Final update: Matchups: 2-1-0; +0.69
units Kim/Bauer WON by 4 (at the cut)
Redman/Hjorth WON by 12 (at the cut)
Ochoa/Davies LOST by 10 Outrights: 0-3; -2.25 units
Park 25th
Kerr mc
Daniel 13th Loss on the event as Ochoa's reversal on the final
day meant that the matchups did not cover the outrights. Daniel had been on the
fringes of a top-4 place all week, but was not there when it mattered. Still to
get out of second gear on this Tour this season. |