Safeway Ping Outright plays (0.75 units):
Lorie Kane to finish in the top-five 13/2 @ Five
Dimes
Extremely impressive course form with no worse than 11th in her five previous
visits to Moon Valley and looked in very impressive form last week until an
even-par final round enabled the Doolan to overtake her with a closing 65. With
just four victories and last one two years ago, she looks a good player to side
with for place-only bets rather than win-only and with Sorenstam, Pak and Webb
in the field, everyone else's odds are sufficiently inflated.
Juli Inkster to finish in the top-five 7/1 @ Five
Dimes
Inkster finished 5th when this event first came to Moon Valley in 1987 and her
recent form is not bad either - three top-10 finishes in her last four visits.
There was every evidence last week after her 2nd round 62 that she was playing
well enough to contend and this week should be no different. High enough odds to
look at the place-only option for a player who has not won since last July ...
but that was the U.S. Women's Open! Christina Kim to finish in
the top-four 25/1 @ Centrebet
William Hill offer 125/1, which are very surprising odds for someone who
finished 4th last week. Will take the place-only route again as Kim is not a
consistent winner. She finished 2nd on the 2002 Futures Tour money list, but she
only won once while finishing 2nd four times. The mitigating circumstances may
have been that she was almost certainly going to finish 2nd in the Money List to
Loren Ochoa, but it still shows that the Californian was a promising rookie
before last week's high finish.
Matchup plays (0.75 units
unless stated): Meg Mallon to beat Laura Diaz -110 @ SkyBet
Successfully opposed Diaz last week as her form in Australia was a concern and
she was defending champion. She missed the cut, while Mallon finished 6th.
Mallon also has the upper hand on this course - in the times that they have
played in the same year, Diaz has yet to finish ahead of Mallon.
Lorie Kane to beat Rachel Teske -125 @
Expekt
Also opposed Teske last week and while she made the cut, she finished down in
68th place. With the pressure of being defending champion this week, I'll oppose
her with my main outright selection who has been extremely consistent on this
course with last year being the only time in four occasions that Kane has
finished ahead of Teske. Christina Kim to beat Suzann
Pettersen -118 @
Expekt
[2.25 units]
Siding with Kim again who was put on the mike for the last two rounds of the
Welch's/Fry Championship and coped very well even if the producers were quick to
cut away from her at the first sign of her frequent "damnit"s! Still, that would
be nothing compared to Pettersen's outbursts were she to be put on the mike! As
for the golf, Pettersen has been trying out new Titleist irons for the last two
weeks and it showed in her erratic 62nd place finish this week. She needs a high
finish this week to qualify for the Nabisco Championship, but I can't see it
while she is still experimenting. Will side with the impressive Kim again.
Mid-point update: Mallon/Diaz Trails by 3
Kane/Teske LOST by 5
Kim/Pettersen Trails by 3 Kane mc
Inkster mc
Kim 51st Good 2nd round by Kim saw her get back under the cut
mark and prevent a missed cut sweep on the outrights. Will be a loss-making
event, but it will all depend on Kim as to how much.
Final
update: Matchups: 0-3-0; -4.42 units Mallon/Diaz
LOST by 12
Kim/Pettersen LOST by 5 Outrights: 0-3; -2.25 units
Kim 50th Disappointing blank. Not even close to win. Can only get
better next week. |