Samsung World Championship
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Grace Park to win 12/1 e.w. @ SkyBet,
Stan James and
Paddy Power
Park finished one shot too many last week, but it still maintained her
incredible run of competitiveness - 6 top-3 finishes in her last 12
starts. Against a very much smaller field, there is every reason to
expect her to be in the top-3 again this week.
Juli Inkster to win 20/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
and
Paddy Power
Can't understand why she is priced so high in a 20-player event. She may
missed the cut and finished 14th in her two starts in the last month,
but she was also joint-top U.S. points winner in the Solheim Cup last
month and had won twice and finished in the top-10 in eight of her
previous ten starts before September. Plus, she has three of the last
six Samsung World Championships and they have all been on different
courses so she really should be at lower odds.
Rosie Jones to win 33/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
And so should Rosie Jones. Her only win in this event was back in 1988,
but she has been extremely competitive since she won the Asahi Ryokuken
International in May - outside the top-15 only once - and she did win
the last LPGA Tour event to be played in Texas - the 2001 Kathy Ireland
Championship. She has shown that she can still win and she should go
close.
Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):
Rosie Jones to beat Hee-Won Han -111 @
Centrebet
Backing Jones for a big week. She would have struggled to match Han had
this event been held a month ago, but Han has not been particularly
impressive since the LPGA Tour season reconvened after the Solheim Cup
break. In her two events, she has finished 17th and 63rd. She also only
finished 15th (of 20 players) in her debut in this event last year so
Jones should certainly prove a strong opponent.
Rosie Jones to beat Candie Kung -133 @
NordicBet
Similar story here. Kung finished 1st, 1st and 2nd in the three events
before the Solheim Cup and has since missed the cut and finished 19th.
She is also making her debut in this prestigious event and having lost
her momentum, she could struggle in this rarefied air.
Angela Stanford to beat Hilary Lunke -167 @
Expekt
[3 units]
A rare opportunity to oppose Lunke. Since winning the U.S. Women's Open
in July, she has played in eight events, finishing 64th once, 70th once
and missing the other six cuts. There is no cut to miss this week, but
the pressures of being the national champion have been too much for her
game and these high-profile events are not what she needs. She might be
able to regroup over the winter for the new season, but will always be
opposed from now until then.
Final update:
Matchups: 2-1-0; +2.84 units
Jones/Han LOST by 1
Jones/Kung WON by 7
Stanford/Lunke WON by 6
Outrights: 0-3; -4.50 units
Park 7th
Inkster 6th
Jones 14th
The outrights look as if they were in contention, but they rarely
were. Inkster was best-placed at four shots out a place win. The losses
on the outrights would have been covered by the matchups, but Jones
bogeyed the last hole to lose the match to Han. Now there's a three-week
wait and trip to South Korea before amends can be made.
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