Outright Picks - LPGA Tour
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ADT Championship
FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +5.44pts
Park 15th
Kerr 2nd
Webb 3rd
Great performance by Kerr to match Sorenstam shot-for-shot in the
final round, though it probably a great help that she played in the
group in front. When she did play alongside her in the playoff, she
rather wilted and lost the first hole to a bogey. Not been a good year
for the outrights on this Tour, but at least the last month was very
profitable.
Outright plays (1.5pts):
Grace Park to win 10/1 e.w. @
Victor
Chandler,
UKBetting
and
Totalbet
Annika Sorenstam is miles ahead in the ratings for this event and should
win this with ease, but she has only done so in one of three years that
this course has hosted this event. She will be in the frame on Sunday
evening, but there is more value in the outright odds with her in the
field than in the 'w/o Sorenstam' market. One example is Park who
warrants backing each-way at double-digit odds. The second-best player
on Tour, who has finished in the top-3 in each of her five previous
starts before last week, should gain a top-4 finish at least. It does
not harm her chances that she was not in the hunt last week and with a
record of top-10 finishes in each of the three years of this event here,
this week should see a return to her previous impressive form.
Cristie Kerr to win 20/1 e.w. @
BetInternet and
GolfingGods
This is an event in which course form has been extremely important in
the last couple of years and the last two selections can also boast
impressive form at Trump International. Kerr finished 3rd last year
despite an opening 74 and has shown good form recently. Take out her two
withdrawals due to a neck injury in September and her last four finishes
have been 1st, 8th, 5th and 7th. A repeat performance of that form in
this limited-field event should net a return on the play.
Karrie Webb to win 25/1 e.w. @
GolfingGods
It has been a long time since I backed Webb in an outright market, but
there are some very healthy signs in her game. Not only has she finished
7th in each of the last two weeks, but she has been ranked 1st in greens
in regulation in three of her last four starts (this does not include
the events in South Korea and Japan for which there were no event stats
available). A winner on this course in 2001, and with finishes of 3rd
and 10th since, she is another who could certainly win this event, but
if not, has shown enough form recently to suggest that she should
capture of the top-4 places for a payout on this play.
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