Outright Picks - LPGA Tour
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Franklin American Mortgage Championship (1.5pts):
Karrie Webb to win 16/1 e.w. @
Stan James
With no Sorenstam, Pak or Park, this has the look of a very
run-of-the-mill event. It must be to have Lorena Ochoa and Mi-Hyun Kim
as joint favourites at 7/1! It therefore seems very strange that Stan
James are offering 16s on Webb, at least four points higher than
everyone else. Her course form is respectable enough with finishes of
6th and 21st and she finished strongly last week to end up in 11th
place, a position that she has matched in four of seven starts this
season. And this is such a week field, she must be value at these odds.
Lorie Kane to win 22/1 e.w. @
Paddy Power
Kane has been fairly steady this season with three top-15 finishes in
seven starts, though she has threatened to finish much higher before the
weekend on a couple of occasions. She also finished in the top-15 in her
only start on this course, so all the indications are there that she
will contend. Now it is a matter of taking her opportunities and she
will surely have fewer better opportunities than against this field.
Pat Hurst to win 33/1 e.w. @
Paddy Power
A course specialist who has nicely come into form in the past two weeks.
She followed her top-20 finish in Chick-fil-A Charity Championship with
a top-10 finish last week against the Tour's best players. She course
form is unrivalled with finishes of 1st, 7th and 2nd while the
Electrolux USA Championship was played here from 2000 to 2002 and
certainly warrants support at this price.
Final update: 1-2; +2.44pts
Webb 29th
Kane 11th
Hurst 4th
Rather frustating that after backing Ochoa in the outrights many
times since the start of the last year, she finally wins an event when
ignored at 7/1. Hurst did get within a shot of Ochoa with three holes to
play, but bogeys at the next two holes ended her challenge.
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