Matchup Picks - LPGA Tour
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Safeway International FINAL RESULT:
3-1-0; +4.35pts Koch/Diaz LOST by 5
Rosales/Pak WON (Pak wd)
Sorenstam/Kerr WON by 9
Wie/Pak WON (Pak wd) A good result on the matchups to round off a very
profitable event. Had hoped for the sweep with Koch leading Diaz by two
with just one round to play, but she had a very poor final round. Adding (1.5pts unless stated): Annika
Sorenstam to beat Cristie Kerr -155 @
Five
Dimes [3pts]
There really should be shorter odds on a player who is 6/4 to win the
event against one who is 10/1 at best. Sorenstam has a 11-3-0 h2h record
against Kerr over the last year and is aiming for her fourth straight
Safeway title. I didn't think there would be many value opportunities
for backing Sorenstam this year, but when I make her a 78% chance to win
this match, this is easily a double-play. Michelle Wie to beat Se
Ri Pak -135 @
Expekt *
PRICE UPDATE: -125 @ Centrebet / SuperOdds *
Adding another play against the struggling Pak and with a much stronger
opponent than Rosales. Wie may have finished behind Rosales in her
opening event of the season, but as an outright selection, she is
considered the better chance to win this week and extend her run to
consecutive head-to-head victories against Pak. Matchup plays (1.5pts): Carin Koch to
beat Laura Diaz -110 @
SkyBet
Give Koch the edge in this match having played on this course last year
and Diaz not and while, they have split their two matches this year,
Diaz beat Koch by just a single shot in Mexico whereas Koch beat Diaz by
nine the previous week to highlight her greater consistency.
(also available at Paddy Power) Jenny Rosales to beat Se Ri Pak
+100 @ BetFred
Pak may have finished ahead of Rosales last year on this course, but
there has been a marked reversal in form since, with Rosales beating Pak
in eight of their last eleven common events and the last occasion was
only because Rosales withdrew after the first round - Pak finished 54th.
Already a winner this year in Hawaii, Rosales looks the far likelier
contender for the title this week and that makes evens pretty good odds.
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