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Outright Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

   

ADT Championship

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FINAL RESULT: 0-1; -1.00pts

Creamer 8th

She did the difficult part well and made both cuts to ensure very good value at these odds, but was the only player to shoot over-par in the 18-hole shootout.

 

Outright play (total stake: 1pt)

Paula Creamer to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill, Ladbrokes and Tote
Can't get too involved in this market with the chaotic determination of the winner of this event: a cut after two rounds to 16 players; a cut after three rounds to 8 players; and the winner decided by who shoots the lowest score in the final round with the previous scores being annulled. So, basically, the quoted odds are on the winner of a 18-hole shootout given that the player makes the first two cuts. So consistency of play is the first pre-requisite. Creamer has finished each of her last 16 rounds inside the top-8 on the leaderboard, so enough consistency to make the final round shouldn't be a major issue with Creamer. Thereafter, it's a one-round shootout. In that respect, Creamer's h2h record against Annika Sorenstam of 7-7-3 in the first round over the last 12 months is as good as anyone in this field apart from Ochoa (8-7-2) so she can match the best players in a 18-hole shootout. In terms of the usual angles, she has finished 6th in each of her last five events and 6th on her debut on this course last year so 16/1 looks value in difficult market to appraise.