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Matchup Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

Fields Open

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FINAL RESULT: 0-4: -13.94pts

Kane/Baena LOST by 3
Redman/Miyazato LOST by 3
Webb/Miyazato LOST by 4
Koch/Gustafson LOST by 2

No comment!

 

Further matchup play (2pts)

Carin Koch to beat Sophie Gustafson -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Gustafson continued her poor form in Hawaii last week by missing the cut for the second consecutive year and although she was opposed with Rosales with withdrew during the second round on that occasion, she is opposed again this week and with a more dependable opponent. Koch did make the cut last week and although it was a disappointing performance overall, her record in Hawaii has been much better with top-10 finishes in her two previous starts and she did play on this course back in 1995 and secured a top-15 finish. I have much more confidence in Koch to complete the event this week and leave the self-destruction to Gustafson.

 

Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):

Lorie Kane to beat Marisa Baena -111 @ Centrebet
A six-shot win for Kane in this match last week should be repeated. In terms of form in Hawaii, Kane did win the 2001 Takefuji Classic and only lost in a playoff to Annika Sorenstam the following year, so her credentials for playing in these conditions are good. Not good enough to win, but still good enough to beat Baena more times that these odds would suggest.

Michele Redman to beat Ai Miyazato -120 @ Expekt [4pts]
Had pencilled in a play on Ochoa to beat Miyazato last week, but backed off over concerns over her erratic form following her swing changes last year. That was a lost opportunity, so will not do the same again this week. Miyazato has simply been very disappointing (relative to the hype) in all her three starts this year: in the Women's World Cup in South Africa, in the Australian Ladies Masters and in last week's SBS Open where she finished 48th and 35 places behind Redman. So with Redman in a run of extremely consistent form - a worst finish of 32nd since the U.S. Women's Open last June - and with very impressive in Hawaii - top-20 finishes in each of the last four Tour events here - that also includes a top-10 finish when this course was last used on the LPGA Tour (1995), she should at leat finish in the top-20, which will be more than good enough to beat Miyazato.

Karrie Webb to beat Ai Miyazato -118 @ Centrebet [4pts]
Webb also disappointed in Australia, but she still finished four shots ahead of Miyazato and that was her margin of victory last week in Hawaii. In fact, since the start of the 2005 season, these two have played in ten common events with Webb prevailing seven times, a tie being the result twice and Miyazato finishing ahead of Webb only once and that was in a JLPGA Tour event. Add in Webb's form in Hawaii - before last week's 26th place finish, she had finished in the top-10 in all her previous visits to the Islands, including one win (2000 Takefuji Classic) - and Webb should certainly finish in the top-20 this week and win this match.

May add more if Five Dimes do a better job than last week when they released matchup odds within about one hour of the start of the event!