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Outright Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

Florida's Natural Championship

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FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -2.00pts

Inkster 5th
Gulbis 20th
Pressel 16th

Three decent performances, but the best was still only a three-way share of 5th place which did no more than return the stake.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Juli Inkster to win 20/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
A former winner (2002) and in her best form for several years. Inkster opened the season with a top-10 finish in SBS Open in Hawaii, but it was her win in the Safeway International last month - her first win since 2003 - that suggested that she was not yet ready to give way to the rising young stars on this Tour. She has followed that win with top-5 finishes in both her subsequent events so show that the win was no fluke. One top-5 finish was in a major championship and the other included a course-record final round 63 in Las Vegas. It is no accident that she ranks 2nd in the Money List and Scoring Average on Tour and ahead of Annika Sorenstam both times, which points to value at these odds.

Natalie Gulbis to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Gulbis also ranks ahead of Annika Sorenstam in both the Money List (5th) and Scoring Average (3rd) tables, which is no surprise as she has finished in the top-5 in four of six starts this season. She failed to reach that mark last time out in Las Vegas, but that was only because of poor putting - she ranked 2nd in greens in regulation (85%) on the week. So with top-15 finishes from 2002-04 and a 23rd place finish last year, a return to the leaderboard looks very likely this week.

Morgan Pressel to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Pressel has rather disappeared from the radar after an impressive couple of events in Hawaii in February, but that is only because she has played just twice since. She disappointed in the Safeway International (60th), but didn't in the Nabisco Championship where she was on the fringes of contention throughout, ranking 4th in greens in regulation that week. She does have course experience having competed as an amateur and finishing 23rd and she did win the U.S. Women's Amateur Championship in such convincing style in Georgia last year. It would be hard to imagine Michelle Wie being available at these odds and there really is little to choose between these two at this stage of their careers.