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Outright Picks - LPGA Tour |
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Jamie Farr Owens Corning Classic |
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FINAL RESULT: 1-3; +9.50pts
Kim 1st
Jang mc
Han 32nd
Hetherington 13th
Well done Peanut! This event looked lost when she fell four shots behind
Gulbis, but she showed the resolve that was sadly lacking from Clarke and Bryant
today. She could have settled it on the last hole when missing from 10 feet, but
even though she was handicapped by every playoff hole being a par-5, the better
player under pressure came through.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Mi Hyun Kim to win 20/1 e.w. @
BetInternet,
Stan James,
William Hill,
GolfingGods and
Boyle Sports
Adding a fourth play this week as I can't split Kim, Jang and Han, while
Hetherington is definitely worth a punt at 50/1. After two weeks of playing on
long, wet courses, it should be some relief to these selections that they are on
a short course this week. Unfortunately, it won't be dry as there has been
almost three times the normal rainfall in Sylvania, Ohio so far this month.
There should be only showers on Thursday and Friday and then dry over the
weekend, so at least it won't be quite as punitive for these selections as in
the last two weeks. So, ignoring her 41st position in the U.S. Women's Open and
a third-round defeat last week, Kim comes into this event in as good form as
anyone since winning the Ginn Clubs & Resorts Open in April. She had top-5
finishes in her last two events before the U.S. Women's Open and can boast a
record that reads only one finish worse than 12th in six attempts on this
course. Against some very tired players who were in contention in the U.S.
Women's Open and played more rounds in the Match Play, she should continue her
fine record at Highland Meadows again, despite the wet conditions.
Jeong Jang to win 22/1 e.w. @
GolfingGods
It is a similar story with Jang, who finished 28th two weeks ago and was a first
round loser last week. After also winning the Wegmans LPGA three weeks ago, in
hindsight, she would have been grateful for the early rest last week. That win
in New York only extended her previous run of good form as she had come very
close to winning the ShopRite LPGA Classic earlier that month and in terms of
course form, she also mirrors Kim. She has finished outside the top-15 just once
in the last six years here. That's why it was difficult to split them two!
Hee-Won Han to win 25/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Han is another selection who entered the last two weeks in great form, including
a win in the previous two months. That win (LPGA Corning Classic) came at the
end of five consecutive top-5 finishes and she was back in good form with a
top-10 finish in the Wegmans LPGA the week before the U.S. Women's Open. Of the
selections, she should be the freshest after missing the cut in the U.S. Women's
Open and losing in the first round last week, but as already mentioned there are
good reasons for discounting the last two weeks when capping this event. As just
as with Kim and Jang, very strong form before the U.S. Women's Open can be
allied to very strong course form: in each of her last two visits (2003 and
2005), she really should have won this event. In 2003, she shared the lead with
Se Ri Pak with nine holes to play, but them fell behind and needed to birdie the
par-5 last hole to force a playoff, but was too aggressive and bogeyed it
instead. And last year, she appeared to be coasting to victory, but shot 40 on
the back nine , including a 6-5 finish to end up one shot outside the playoff.
She is certainly due a win in this event!
Rachel Hetherington to win 50/1 e.w. @
BetInternet,
Stan James,
Victor
Chandler and
Paddy Power
By contrast, Hetherington did play well in the U.S. Women's Open and rather than
simply having an extremely good record in this event, she won it in 2002. She
had not been playing well this year, but two top-10 finishes in the consecutive
weeks in the Wegmans LPGA and the U.S. Women's Open are very encouraging. It is
also important that she lost in the first round last week so she can concentrate
upon this event in which she has finished in the top-20 in all seven attempts.
By that standard, there is good value at 50/1.
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