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Matchup Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

McDonalds LPGA Championship

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FINAL RESULT: 3-2; +2.28pts

Ahn/Lee WON by 2
Inkster/Diaz LOST by 2
Hurst/Granada WON by 9
Ochoa/Wie LOST by 1
Webb/Wie WON by 2

Small profit to just about cover the losses on the outright plays.

 

Matchup plays (4pts each):

Shi Hyun Ahn to beat Meena Lee -111 @ Expekt
Opposed Lee profitably last week and will do so again. In her last seven starts, Ahn has finished in the top-25 every time and her record against Lee over that period is six wins and one tie. With a top-25 finish on this course last year, I fully expect Ahn to match that mark again this week and continue her undefeated run against Lee.

Juli Inkster to beat Laura Diaz -143 @ NordicBet
Opposed Diaz as well last week, but not as profitably, however Inkster should be far more dependable than Prammanasudh. For instance, even though she finished two shots behind Diaz last week, she had finished ahead of her in every single common event over the previous eleven months (12 events). Inkster also finished ahead of Diaz on this course last year, so this matchup should really make amends for last week's loss with Prammanasudh.

Pat Hurst to beat Julieta Granada -111 @ Expekt
The selection also lost this matchup last week, but as with the Inkster-Diaz matchup, the selection had previously dominated before last week. In their previous six common events, Hurst had won five times and there had been one tie. And Granada should also be handicapped by the course this week. It is one of the longer courses on the LPGA Tour, while Granada is one of the shortest hitters, and she has no previous experience here. Hurst finished 7th last year and deserves to be the favourite.

Lorena Ochoa to beat Michelle Wie -110 @ SkyBet and BetFred
Looking to oppose Wie this week. She did play at practise round at Bulle Rock last Monday, but then spent four days at Canoe Brook Country Club preparing for the U.S. Open qualifier on Monday. That is an awful lot of preparation at one venue for an event and then it can only be demoralising, particularly for a 16-year-old, to not qualify in the manner in which she did. It really was a golden opportunity to make history and she threw it away. She should struggle to raise her game to the same level even for a major on the LPGA Tour as she must be mentally exhausted, at least. So to be able to oppose her with the top female player in the game at the moment is a bonus at these odds.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Karrie Webb to beat Michelle Wie +110 @ NordicBet
Same angle here. Webb's game has been re-born since she won the Nabisco Championship in such dramatic fashion. She now ranks 2nd behind Ochoa in scoring average and on the Money List and ahead of Annika in both categories, and it has been a long time since that rivalry was so real. In short, these are two good opportunities to oppose a potentially burned-out Wie with the best two players in the women's game.
(also available at Olympic and Expekt)