FINAL RESULT: 1-2; -2.09pts

Ochoa 9th
Creamer 49th
Kerr 5th

Expected better from Ochoa having been so well-placed with one round to play, but it was Kerr's bogey on the final hole that was most costly. A birdie would have put her in the playoff, instead four-way tie for fifth place was not even enough to return the stake.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Lorena Ochoa to win 12/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
The best player on Tour this year. She ranks #1 in scoring average and on the Money List, with the primary reason behind both of these position being her rank as #1 in greens in regulation. Even when she recorded her worst finish of the season last week, it was only as a result of struggling on the greens - she still ranked 1st in greens in regulation last week and there is no more important stat in a major. Returning from a break and being the week before a major, it is easy to discard last week's performance and instead look at her previous six tournaments, which started with a major, and included a top-2 finish every time. She finished 5th last year on this course, so there appears little reason for such a large jump in odds from the 7/1 to 8/1 that she has been in her last few events.

Paula Creamer to win 22/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Victor Chandler and BetDirect
The fact that Bulle Rock was used for the first time last year presents Creamer with an unusual equity in the amount of course history with the rest of the field and that should be some advantage this week, particularly as she finished 3rd last year when everyone played the course for the first time. She comes into this event in good form with finishes of 3rd, 4th, 6th and 9th in her last four starts and has finished in the top-20 of each major since the 2004 U.S. Women's Open when she was still competing as an amateur. She won twice last year and it would be a big surprise if she didn't win at least twice again this year.

Cristie Kerr to win 25/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Ranked 3rd and ahead of Annika in the scoring average stats, it is a surprise that she is ranks 6th in most lists of odds. She has already won once and finished in the top-5 three times in her five starts since the Tour left the West Coast and she recorded top-10 finishes in three of the four majors last year, including two top-5 finishes. Her one failure to record a top-10 finish was in this event, but she had been in that position at the start of the final round. There is certainly plenty of value in these odds as she really should be shorter than Creamer.