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Matchup Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

Nabisco Championship

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FINAL RESULT: 6-1; +8.90pts

Fudoh/Diaz WON by 8
Redman/Lee WON by 6
Redman/Neumann WON by 10
Kim/Neumann WON by 1
Stupples/Kang WON by 17
Matthew/Park LOST by 10
Golden/Robbins WON by 3

At last, some normality to this year's matchups. The only concerning feature was that it was one of the double-plays that lost and the other one won by a single shot when a tied match would have meant a lost wager and an overall deficit on the plays.

 

Further matchup play (2pts)

Kate Golden to beat Kelly Robbins -130 @ Five Dimes
Five Dimes have just posted their matchups for this event and one stands out: a chance to oppose Robbins didn't play again last year after the MasterCard Classic in the first week of March due to a back injury. She made her return to the Tour in the last event and missed the cut. Kate Golden is also unlikely to make the cut this week, but as she did finish 14 shots ahead of Robbins after just 36 holes in the event two weeks ago, that is convincing enough to back her to repeat the feat. Only time will tell if this return to the Tour is too early for Robbins and her back.

 

Matchup plays (total stake per play: 2pts unless stated)

Yuri Fudoh to beat Laura Diaz -125 @ The Greek
Opposing Diaz who has only just returned from her pregnancy and is not, on the evidence of the last Tour event, not yet ready for tournament golf. She hardly practised and shot 73-82 to miss the cut by a very large margin. By contrast, Fudoh has won one of her three starts in Japan this year and, while not a likely contender for the title, is at least competitive when she plays on this Tour.

Michele Redman to beat Meena Lee +105 @ Pinnacle
Attractive on a player who has finished behind her opponent just once in the last eight months. On that occasion, Lee won the Fields Open in Hawaii, but the last Tour event was more the norm: Redman finished eleven shots ahead of Lee. And with Lee making her debut in this event and Redman having made the cut in all her nine previous appearances, there is little to suggest that this week will be any different.

Michele Redman to beat Liselotte Neumann -118 @ Centrebet
After such a strong finish to the 2005 season, Neumann's form this year has been rather a surprise. She has missed two cuts in three events and two of her seven rounds have been in the eighties. Redman comes into this event having been challenging for the Safeway International title for most of the week and has not missed a cut since June 2005. That should be enough of an edge in this matchup.

Mi Hyun Kim to beat Liselotte Neumann -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds [4pts]
Did consider Kim for the outrights, but happy to side with her in the matchups instead. She was particularly impressive in the MasterCard Classic earlier this month and does have a very good record in this event, finishing 7th and 5th in the last two years, for example. This is a short course that suits her game and with Neumann struggling so much this year, Kim should not need to a high finish to prevail in this matchup.

Karen Stupples to beat Soo-Yun Kang -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Kang is another who has surprisingly struggled this year with 24th being her best finish so far. And with finishes of 62nd and a post-rd1 withdrawal in this event, she looks unlikely to finish any higher this week. Stupples can count one top-5 finish already in 2006 and each of her three finishes in this event have been higher than Kang's best finish of 2006.

Catriona Matthew to beat Grace Park -130 @ The Greek [4pts]
A back injury ruined Park's season last year and while she now says that the pain is now virtually gone, she has been forced to remodel her swing and the results have not been good. She has missed her last three cuts and while trailing Matthew 6-12-0 over the past year, the only times that she has finished ahead of the Scot have been when Matthew has finished outside the top-20. This looks like a straightforward win unless Matthew is helpful to her opponent.