Outright Picks - LPGA Tour |
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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts Inkster
25th
Kerr 13th
Creamer 9th All three in the top-25, but only Creamer really threatened to
earn any return. She got within two shots of the lead early in the final round,
but dropping three shots in the two holes on the back nine ended any hope of
even a place return.
Further outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Cristie Kerr to win 14/1 e.w. @ available generally
Siding with two more players who are certainly capable of winning in this
company. Kerr and Inkster are two of only four players that average less than 70
this season and that consistency has resulted in wins for both players. In
Kerr's case it was the Franklin American Mortgage Championship last month, which
she followed with a 4th place finish the following week in her last outing. In
fact, that event was the first time in her last four events that she had not
held the lead at the end of at least one day during the tournament, though she
did come close: she was in 2nd place after the 2nd and 3rd rounds. And given
that she won this event two years on this course, she really should be on top of
the leaderboard during this event once again.
Paula Creamer to win 25/1 e.w. @
BetFred
and
BetDirect
Unusually high odds for a player like Creamer, so it is a sign of her
disappointing season that these odds are on offer and have remained so all week.
But her performances in her last three events have been more encouraging - 3rd,
4th and 6th - and in the last of those, she was playing as defending champion
for the first time and admitted to being very nervous. Now she returns to a
course on which she finished 2nd in only her 5th start on the LPGA Tour in 2004,
so there really should be value at 25/1 this week.
Outright play (total stake: 1pt)
Juli Inkster to win 18/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Adding an early play as these odds will surely not be beaten. Inkster is a
former double-winner of this event back in 1986 and 1988 at a time when the
event was played on this course until 1987, but it is her form when the event
returned to the Marriott Seaview Resort in 1998 that is really of note. In those
eight years, she has seven top-4 finishes! And in her year of failure (2001),
she still finished 17th. She has already won this season (Safeway International)
against both Annika Sorenstam and Loren Ochoa and has five top-5 finishes in her
last seven starts. So even if Annika does rediscover her form this week and
Ochoa plays well on her course debut, all the stats point to at least a place
return on Inkster.
Will post more plays later in the week. |