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Outright Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

Shoprite LPGA Classic

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FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts

Inkster 25th
Kerr 13th
Creamer 9th

All three in the top-25, but only Creamer really threatened to earn any return. She got within two shots of the lead early in the final round, but dropping three shots in the two holes on the back nine ended any hope of even a place return.

 

Further outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Cristie Kerr to win 14/1 e.w. @ available generally
Siding with two more players who are certainly capable of winning in this company. Kerr and Inkster are two of only four players that average less than 70 this season and that consistency has resulted in wins for both players. In Kerr's case it was the Franklin American Mortgage Championship last month, which she followed with a 4th place finish the following week in her last outing. In fact, that event was the first time in her last four events that she had not held the lead at the end of at least one day during the tournament, though she did come close: she was in 2nd place after the 2nd and 3rd rounds. And given that she won this event two years on this course, she really should be on top of the leaderboard during this event once again.

Paula Creamer to win 25/1 e.w. @ BetFred and BetDirect
Unusually high odds for a player like Creamer, so it is a sign of her disappointing season that these odds are on offer and have remained so all week. But her performances in her last three events have been more encouraging - 3rd, 4th and 6th - and in the last of those, she was playing as defending champion for the first time and admitted to being very nervous. Now she returns to a course on which she finished 2nd in only her 5th start on the LPGA Tour in 2004, so there really should be value at 25/1 this week.

 

Outright play (total stake: 1pt)

Juli Inkster to win 18/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Adding an early play as these odds will surely not be beaten. Inkster is a former double-winner of this event back in 1986 and 1988 at a time when the event was played on this course until 1987, but it is her form when the event returned to the Marriott Seaview Resort in 1998 that is really of note. In those eight years, she has seven top-4 finishes! And in her year of failure (2001), she still finished 17th. She has already won this season (Safeway International) against both Annika Sorenstam and Loren Ochoa and has five top-5 finishes in her last seven starts. So even if Annika does rediscover her form this week and Ochoa plays well on her course debut, all the stats point to at least a place return on Inkster.

Will post more plays later in the week.