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Matchup Picks - LPGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

Takefuji Classic

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FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.42pts

Jang/Ahn WON by 4
Inkster/Kerr WON by 5
Kim/Parker-Manzo WON by 4

Wow! What a final round! Inkster and Jang were a combined 15-under-par and Kerr and Ahn were a combined 1-over-par. This looked all week like being a struggle to get two winners out of three and it ends up being a sweep. Finally brings the LPGA Tour matchups into profit this season!

 

Matchup plays (2pts each):

Jeong Jang to beat Shi Hyun Ahn -128 @ Five Dimes
No disputing Ahn's fine form on this course (11th and 3rd) and while Jang 7th place finish last year is worthy of mention, it is the head-to-head record that decides this play. Ahn did finish five shots ahead of Jang in the Nabisco Championship, but Jang had finished the higher of the two in each of their previous 17 common events, dating back to June last year. That statistic shows clearly who is the better player.

Juli Inkster to beat Cristie Kerr +121 @ Pinnacle
BetFred price these two equally and that is how I also mark this matchup, which means there is value in these odds. Kerr did play well here in 2003 and 2004, but was poor last year and was poor in the Nabisco Championship. Inkster defeated her by eleven shots last time out and in their previous common event, Inkster had also prevailed when she won the Safeway International. With decent course form as well, Inkster should at least be as competitive as Kerr this week and that is not reflected in these odds.
(also available at BetFred)

Birdie Kim to beat Kristal Parker-Manzo -133 @ Five Dimes
This is a strange matchup. On the one hand we have the U.S. Women's Open Champion and on the other we have a player who returned last August after almost a full year off the Tour with an elbow injury, played four events last year, missing three cuts and a best of 65th and has yet to start this year with her non-exempt status. Even in her last full season (2004), she played in 16 events and failed to make the cut 12 times. I'd normally look to oppose Birdie Kim, but not with Parker-Manzo.