Final update: 2-2-0 and -0.10 units for the day; 6-10-3 and -4.69 units for the week
Roberts delivered the goods today with a 69 to almost gain a playoff place, but beat Edwards and Dodds. But Couples was a poor loss and Allenby lost out by one to Stadler in the 4th round.
In the remaining 72-hole matchups, Couples' 74 ensured a two-shot defeat to Maggert, but the other three - Hoch/Maggert, Hoch/Mayfair and Kelly/Mayfair - were winners. Small consolation when so many matchups were liked at the start of the week. Will get it back next week
Computer broken all weekend so no
updates/plays until now. Very quickly, the 4th round plays
Robert Allenby to beat Craig Stadler @ +105 with the Starnet books
Loren Roberts to beat Trevor Dodds @ -148 with Canbet
Loren Roberts to beat Joel Edwards @ -160 with Bowmans or Carib
Fred Funk to beat Craig Stadler @ -110 with Carib
2nd round update: 1-1-1 and +0.00 units for the day
Going nowhere fast! Lickliter shot 66 to beat Jones by five, Magee and Kelly
tied with 71s and Kraft crashed out of the event with a 76 and lose to Kaye by
ten shots today.
The halfway cut did us no favors either. Five of the nine 72-hole matchups
were decided today and none were in our favor
Appleby, Hart and Magee all missed the cut by ONE shot
So that's four losers and Mike Weir returned home to see to his wife who has
fallen ill.
Of the remaining four live matchups, the scores are: Couples/Maggert - 1
down; Hoch/Maggert - 5 up; Hoch/Mayfair - 3 up; Kelly/Mayfair - 3 down. Really
need these four to pull through!
Back with 3rd round plays in the morning.
Adding three plays for the 2nd round:
Andrew Magee to beat Jerry Kelly @ -115 with GoTo or Five Dimes
Frank Lickliter to beat Steve Jones @ -105 with Five Dimes
Greg Kraft to beat Jonathan Kaye @ +100 with Five Dimes
1st round update: 0-1-1 and -1.10 units for the day
Weir lost his 1st round matchup by three to Funk despite shooting 70, while
Kelly and Mayfair tied with 71s. Was hoping for a much better day. All three go-againsts
broke par in the first round. Funk shot 67, Maggert 70 and Mayfair 71
The standings are: Appleby/Funk - 2 down; Appleby/Maggert - 1 up; Couples/Maggert
- 5 down; Hoch/Maggert - 1 down; Hoch/Mayfair - level; Kelly/Mayfair - level;
Hart/Funk - 6 down; Weir/Funk - 3 down; Magee/Roberts - 4 down.
Basically they're shocking! Things can only get better and at least it's only
after 18 holes.
Ouch! After weeks of scratching around for decent plays, according to the
Tour-Tips ratings, there are loads of them this week! With a fair bit of
scrutiny, they have been narrowed down to a mere nine 72-hole plays. That
said, many of these are multiple go-againsts so maybe it isn't that bad after
all.
There are basically three players being opposed here: Fred Funk, Jeff Maggert
and Billy Mayfair. Funk may have been a regular at this event since 1989 and the
course record holder, but his game is completely out of sorts. He has only one
top-10 this term - back in January at the Bob Hope - which is a far cry from the
five in nine with which he finished last season. He may be straight, but even
his best course form is some time ago: he has only broken par four times in his
last fourteen rounds here. He is definitely worth opposing with Stuart Appleby
and Dudley Hart [ranked 3rd and 1st respectively in the Tour-Tips rankings] and
Mike Weir is certainly a good enough player to side with - six top-20 finishes
in his ten starts this year is certainly good, but he can do much better.
Maggert is opposed for basically the same reasons as Funk. He is straight and
should be suited to this course and he has done well here in the past, but there
is very little reason to be confident in his game at the moment. He has missed
the cut in four of his last five events and during that streak he was thrashed
6&5 in the 1st round of the WGC Matchplay by Bob Tway. Not playing much and
struggling when he does, this has the hallmark of being a great week for him if
he gets off to a flyer, but if not, playing in front of his home crowd will only
make his problems on the course worse. He is being opposed by Stuart Appleby and
Fred Couples [ranked 3rd and 2nd in the rankings] who are playing so much better
at the moment and by Scott Hoch who has both decent current form - three top-15
finishes in his last four events - and decent course form - 2nd, 31st, 4th, 12th
and 10th being his finishes here in the last five years.
Finally Mayfair is being opposed for having a terrible record at this event
and not being on top of his game at the moment to compensate. He has missed the
cut in each of his last five visits here and the last time was in 1997. It's no
surprise he hasn't been in a hurry to come back. He is certainly one player who
struggles on Bermuda greens. He is being opposed by Scott Hoch and Jerry Kelly
whose four appearances here read 56th, 6th, 6th and 17th last year. Quite a
contrast! The only other play is on Andrew Magee, who was impressive in
maintaining his 2nd place last week, to beat Loren Roberts. The boost to his
confidence is timely and he looks a great price to beat the inconsistent
Roberts.
Staking plan:
Stuart Appleby to beat Fred Funk @ -111 with DAS
Stuart Appleby to beat Jeff Maggert @ +100 with Sportingbet
Fred Couples to beat Jeff Maggert @ +120 with WSEX
Scott Hoch to beat Jeff Maggert @ -111 with DAS
Scott Hoch to beat Billy Mayfair @ -135 with WSEX
Jerry Kelly to beat Billy Mayfair @ +110 with Olympic or Fair Deal
Jerry Kelly to beat Billy Mayfair [1st round] @ +100 with GoTo or Moneyplays
Dudley Hart to beat Fred Funk @ -138 with BlueSq
Mike Weir to beat Fred Funk @ -110 with Moneyplays
Mike Weir to beat Fred Funk [1st round] @ -110 with Five Dimes
Andrew Magee to beat Loren Roberts @ +110 with Intertops, Enterbet, Gamblers
Palace, CRIS, Premiere League
The Houston Open
This week it's the home course of Jeff Maggert. He resides at
the course and as a youngster [not as long ago as most would think!] he caddied
for Scott Simpson in this event. He knows the course more than anyone else and
so should be a prime contender to win this event every year. Well, maybe not. He
was runner-up in 1994, 1996 and 1998, though on each occasion he was leading
going into the final day. The same fate fell upon the 3rd round leader last
year, Hal Sutton, who dropped two shots in the last three holes to lose by one
to Stuart Appleby. So in an event that is typically close - eight playoffs in
the last fourteen years - it looks a good call to oppose the 3rd round leader!
Texans, and in particular Fred Couples, Justin Leonard, Omar Uresti, Bruce
Lietzke, Phil Blackmar and Mark Brooks, tend to do well here with the move to
Bermuda greens and the last two are former winners of this event.
The emphasis is on finding the target rather than length this
week. Many of the longer-hitters will not be able to hit drivers all the time
because of the penalties that lie further from the tee and with water in play in
nine holes - the 'devil's bathtub' snakes around the back nine - there is no
excuse for being wayward. The Texas winds will only heighten the emphasis on
straight-hitting and, like last year, will fry the greens so that morning tee
times are a big advantage.
The top-two-ranked this week are Dudley Hart whose errant
putter last week should be more at ease on these greens - he was 4th last year -
and Fred Couples who showed good signs of form at the Masters and was 3rd here
on his last visit. The warmer climes will also help his back!
Will have matchups plays later today.
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