Reno-Tahoe Open
Outright plays (1 unit): Chris
Riley to win 14/1 e.w. @ UKBetting
Nothing too inspired this week; just the top-3 in my ratings available at odds
above my own lines. Riley is a justifiable favourite for this event. In his last
five events, he as secured three top-3 finishes, finished 14th in the
International, which is also held at altitude, and finished 22nd in the British
Open. His course form is solid, he was born locally and has finished top-15 in
his last two home-state events. No need to add any more.
Charles Howell to win 16/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
After a difficult spring, Howell has put together an extended run of decent
finishes. No top-10s since February, but on the fringes of contention more often
than not and could have been more, but for a 3rd round 80 last week when only
three shots off the lead after 36 holes. Finished 4th last year, having been the
halfway leader, and looks a great player against this field.
Steve Flesch to win 25/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Flesch completes a triumvirate of players who have yet to win on Tour, but for
whom it is only a matter of time. Solid performances in the last two weeks -
10th and 17th - allied with excellent course - top-10 in the last two years and
top-15 in the last four events in Nevada - should point to yet another high
finish from Flesch. Less likely to win than the other two, but someone has to
this week!
Matchup plays (1 unit):
Jay Haas to beat Billy Andrade -120 @ WIT
Jay Haas to beat Brian Henninger -111 @ BetandWin
Mark O'Meara to beat Mark Brooks -110 @ Surrey
Bob Tway to beat Glen Day -110 @ Bet365
David Peoples to beat Phil Tataurangi -120 @ Olympic
Will be away tomorrow, so no time for write-ups this time.
Mid-point update:
Haas/Andrade WON by 1
Haas/Henninger WON by 4
O'Meara/Brooks Trails by 4
Tway/Day Leads by 3
Peoples/Tataurangi WON by 8
Riley 9th
Howell 15th
Flesch 1st
Great position at the cut. This could be the best event on an otherwise very
disappointing PGA Tour season. Howell had been the 1st round leader, but should
come back and press for three finishes in the top-5. Having picked the
pre-weekend leader in three of this week's five events, it will certainly be a
long weekend!
Final update:
Matchups: 5-0; +5.00 units
O'Meara/Brooks WON by 3
Tway/Day WON by 4
Outrights: 2-1; +9.25 units
Riley 1st
Howell 3rd
Flesch 6th
Unbelievable! This has been an unbelievably bad PGA Tour season and along comes
a second-fiddle event and I almost sweep the deck! Riley won via a one-hole
playoff against Skip Kendall and, but for consecutive bogeys down the home
stretch from Flesch, it would have been a sweep in the outrights to match the
sweep in the matchups. Who knows what will happen in next week's event! Still
nice to have three 1st place winners out of this week's five events
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