B.C. Open

Outright plays (1 unit):

David Gossett to win 33/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Gossett has yet to play on this course, but his game should suit and he is playing well at the moment. This course features wide-open fairways, but small, undulating Bentgrass greens, so the emphasis this week is on iron-play. He has finished 20th and 30th in his past two events, which compares favourably against this weak field, but he can also claim two top-5 finishes and a win on Tour in 2001 (John Deere Classic). Should be able to finish the job if in contention.

David Peoples to win 40/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Peoples has played this course many times and has even finished in the top-5, though that was back in 1991. He has also won twice on Tour, though the last was in 1992. So while, he may not be the player he was a decade ago, he has still shown some very good form recently. He has finished in the top-30 in each of his last four events and was 8th in the St. Jude Classic. If he can bring that form to this event, he should finish very high on the leaderboard.

Glen Day to win 66/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Day is another, like many this week, who, if they have won at all on Tour, did so a few years back. His sole win on Tour was the 1999 Heritage, but he did come close to winning this event last year, where he eventually finished 3rd. He has shown his best form of the year recently and though he was in England on Sunday/Monday to try and qualify for the British Open, he did play well and finished just one shot out of the playoff for Championship places. Not the best preparation for this week, but this is a good price, a weak field and a form player.

Matchup plays (1 unit):

Robert Gamez to beat Brett Quigley -110 @ Carib
Both these players have some very high finishes on this course (alongside lots of missed cuts) and both head the market, but I'll side with Gamez here. He leads Quigley 6-2-0 h2h over the past three months and has just been more consistent for longer this year. Five Dimes price Gamez -130 in this matchup.

Shaun Micheel to beat Arron Oberholser -115 @ Five Dimes
In any other event, this matchup should be decided by Friday night - they have been missing a lot of cuts recently. But while Micheel has missed four of his last ten cuts, Oberholser has missed six. The other angle is that Micheel finished 3rd here last year, while Oberholser has never played this course.

David Peoples to beat Hank Kuehne -118 @ Expekt
En-Joie is one of the shortest courses on the PGA Tour at less than 7,000 yards and with the fairways being narrow and tree-lined, this is not a particularly good setup for the big-hitting Kuehne. He did finish 19th here last year (missed the cut on his previous visit), but having also missed five of his last eight cuts, he looks set for a poor week. Easy to side with the outright selection in this match.

1st round plays (1 unit unless stated):

Robert Gamez to beat Brett Quigley -122 @ Five Dimes
Notah Begay to beat Brendan Pappas -118 @ Five Dimes [2 units]
Glen Day to beat Pat Bates -115 @ Five Dimes

1st round update: 2-1-0; +1.78 units

Gamez/Quigley LOST by 1
Begay/Pappas WON by 3
Day/Bates WON by 1

2nd round plays (1 unit):

David Frost to beat John Maginnes -122 @ Five Dimes
Jeff Maggert to beat Craig Stadler -115 @ Five Dimes

2nd round update: 0-2-0; -2.37 units

Frost/Maginnes LOST by 2
Maggert/Stadler LOST by 1

4th round plays (1 unit):

Rod Pampling to beat Brian Henninger -117 @ Five Dimes
David Frost to beat Jim McGovern -127 @ Five Dimes

4th round update: 1-1-0; -0.27 units

Pampling/Henninger WON by 6
Frost/McGovern LOST by 1

Final update:

Matchups: 0-3-0; -3.43 units

Gamez/Quigley LOST by 3
Micheel/Oberholser LOST by 8
Peoples/Kuehne LOST by 6

18-holes: 3-4-0; -0.86 units

Outrights: 1-2; -1.54 units

Gossett 11th
Peoples 31st
Day 5th

Poor event, though Gossett and Day did have chances in the outrights, but dropped shots over the closing holes. Day finished 5th alongside five others for a paltry return and Gossett finished one shot behind. Quite a week for surprise winners!