Bob Hope Chrysler Classic Outright plays
(0.5 units): Chris DiMarco to win 18/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds and Victor
Chandler
Has shown good form over the last two weeks, finishing 3rd in the Sony Open and
earning a creditable 14th as defending champion last week in Phoenix. Just looks
set to contend each week at the moment and with a best performance in this event
last year (6th), he shouldn't be too far from the leaderboard. John Huston
to win 28/1 e.w. @
UKBetting
An impressive runners-up spot last week so looking for him to continue his habit
of stringing good weeks together. His record in this event is also noteworthy -
four top-10 finishes in the last six years - and no-one can better his
187-under-par record for the last 10 years in this event. Davis Love to win
28/1 e.w. @
Bet365
Expected much lower odds and these are to be found elsewhere. Love has a solid
record in this event with a number of top-20 finishes, but no top-5, but this
does appear to be a very open event. Always wary of having money depend on this
player, but this is such an overprice ...
Matchup plays (0.5 units unless
stated): Justin Leonard to beat Jeff Sluman -110 @
Bet365
Expecting another solid display from the consistent Texan. Two top-25 finishes
this year with every round under-par and three solid finishes, including 6th
last year, are supportive. Opposing Sluman who is also consistent, but is 4-11-0
h2h against Leonard in the past year. Justin Leonard to beat Kirk Triplett
-124 @ Pinnacle
Triplett record of six top-20 finishes in the last seven years is very
impressive, but he has beaten Leonard only once in the last three times that
they have both played here and Leonard also dominates the head-to-head record:
9-4-0 over the past year. Justin Leonard to beat Aaron Baddeley -125 @ Paddy Power [1 unit]
Opposing Baddeley again. He missed the cut last week as expected and there is
little reason to expect a major improvement this week. He has never played in
this event (these courses) before this week and he has never played in one of
the Tour pro-ams before this week. With the speed of his play, particularly on
the greens, he does not seem ideally suited to partnering three amateurs. Chris DiMarco to beat Charles Howell +100 @ Victor
Chandler
A widely available matchup. Just think that DiMarco has been threatening to play
extremely well in the past few weeks whereas Howell has hardly been in
contention. DiMarco has beaten Howell the past two weeks and will side with him
at these odds. Brian Gay to beat Mark O'Meara -111 @ BetandWin
Can't see this one surviving until Sunday. O'Meara may have a decent record in
this event, but he has missed his last four cuts and should struggle to avoid
another one this week.
Final update: Matchups: 5-0-0; +3.00 units
Leonard/Sluman WON by 3
Leonard/Triplett WON by 2
Leonard/Baddeley WON by 11 (at the cut)
DiMarco/Howell WON by 19 (at the cut)
Gay/O'Meara WON by 2 Outrights: 1-2; -0.12 units DiMarco 3rd
Huston 32nd
Love 12th Another sweep in the PGA Tour matchups ... what a change from last
year! Good event from Leonard ensures a good return in this department and could
have been better in the outrights: DiMarco had been within one shot of the lead
when he shanked his approach shot on the 14th and all three had been in the
top-10 early in the back nine on Sunday. Still another profitable PGA Tour event
though.
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