Deutsche Bank U.S. Championship
Outright plays (1 unit):
Vijay Singh to win 11/1 e.w. @
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds
and
Stan James
This fields looks very thin after the first half-dozen players or so and
would have expected lower odds on both Singh and Furyk. They are
commonly available at 9/1 apiece, so will rise to the bait with both.
Vijay finished one shot out of the place finishes last week after
bogeying the final par-5, but he did keep up his impressive run of
finishing outside the top-20 in just one event since the Players
Championship in March. Can't complain about that form and it is no
surprise that he is #1 in the All-Round Ranking category on the Tour.
Looks bound to be on the leaderboard on Sunday night.
Jim Furyk to win 14/1 e.w. @
Paddy Power
This price certainly stands out and will not last. This may be a long
course and Furyk is certainly not a big hitter, but the TPC courses also
requires good ball-striking ability and he does rank in the top-5 in
greens in regulation and with a lot of attention on the par-4s this
week, it is comforting that he ranks #1 in the Par-4 Performance stat.
He has been just as consistent as Singh this year - they rank 1st and
2nd in top-10 finishes - and he is a player whose course management
skills will overcome his lack of length off the tee this week.
Chad Campbell to win 50/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Also like Robert Allenby for this market, but will side with Campbell
instead, particularly as he is best-priced 33/1 elsewhere. His 53rd
place finish last week can easily be ignored following his head-to-head
with Shaun Micheel in the PGA Championship the following week and he is
clearly in the same form that brought him to prominence in
February/March. He is also in the same vein of player as Singh and
Furyk. These three are all in the top-four in the Par-4 Performance
stats, they are all very high in the Greens in Regulation (Campbell
ranks 3rd) and Ball Striking (Campbell ranks 2nd) stats. A large price
for a player who has finished 2nd three times this year and will surely
break his duck sooner rather than later.
Matchup plays (1 unit):
Billy Andrade to beat Paul Azinger -120 @
WWTS
Easy to oppose Zinger who has missed 13 of 16 cuts this year and was
only in last week's no-cut event because he was in the delayed Ryder Cup
team of last year. Andrade has finished ahead of him in 12 of their 14
common events in the last year and with local knowledge on his side,
this should be more of the same.
Tim Herron to beat Brad Faxon -111 @
Paddy Power
and
SIA
Faxon is another with local knowledge, but his form is very scratchy and
he is too short off the tee to make an impact on this course. Herron
followed up his top-15 in the PGA Championship with a runners-up spot
last week and should keep his form for a top-20 finish this week.
Robert Gamez to beat Harrison Frazar -111 @
BetandWin
Frazar gained only his second top-10 finish in the last six months at
the Reno-Tahoe Open last week, but he has followed his last two top-10
finishes with missed cuts so he is hardly a consistent player. Will side
with one who has become much more so over the past 12 months and leads
6-0-0 h2h over the past three months.
Nick Price to beat Jonathan Kaye -120 @
William Hill
A runners-up spot in the NEC Invitational was an impressive performance
from Kaye who had missed two of his last four cuts since winning the
Buick Classic in June. No such inconsistency from Price who hasn't
missed a cut since the Players Championship in March and has finished in
the top-5 in four of his last five PGA Tour events.
2nd round plays (1 unit unless stated):
Tiger Woods to beat Vijay Singh -162 @ Five
Dimes
Jesper Parnevik +0.5 to beat Steve Flesch +110 @ WSEX
[2 units]
Billy Andrade +0.5 to beat Justin Rose -125 @ WSEX
[2 units]
2nd round update: 1-2-0; -1.92 units
Woods/Singh LOST by 1
Parnevik/Flesch WON by 1.5
Andrade/Rose LOST by 2.5
Final update:
Matchups: 1-2-0; -1.31 units
Andrade/Azinger LOST by 2
Herron/Faxon WON by 8
Gamez/Frazar LOST by 8
Price/Kaye VOID (Price dns)
18-holes: 1-2-0; -1.92 units
Outrights: 1-1; -0.13 units
Singh 4th
Furyk 13th
Campbell dns
Loss on the event and never looked like being anything
else. Singh had led the tournament during the 2nd round, but ended the
day two shots behind Adam Scott and never got any closer. Furyk
recovered well after a poor opening round in the worst of the weather,
but never looked like reaching the top-5. August has not been a good
month ... glad to see the back of it!
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