Las Vegas Invitational
Outright plays (1 unit):
Jim Furyk to win 11/1 e.w. @
Victor
Chandler
Clearly the headline player in this week's field and deserving of his
favourite's tag. He has retained his consistency throughout the season
and has won two of his last nine events. With no other player having
amassed as much money in this event - his takings are also double that
of Love in 2nd place - he should certainly feel optimistic that he can
secure his 4th Las Vegas Invitational title this week.
Stuart Appleby to win 25/1 e.w. @ Bet365,
Victor
Chandler and BlueSq
Having good experience of this event is imperative because of the pro-am
format and while Appleby cannot claim to have won this title in the
past, he did finish 2nd to Phil Tataurangi by a single shot last year.
That seems to be the order of the day as he has managed to finish 2nd in
his last two starts, including the American Express Championship last
week. Winning may be a little problematic, but it is difficult to ignore
this form.
Jonathan Kaye to win 50/1 e.w. @
Stan James,
BetInternet
and UKBetting
Also looked closely at Darren Clarke, but it is this price that is
difficult to ignore. Whereas Clarke has not played in this event, Kaye
crucially managed two top-3 finishes in 1999 and 2000, the first behind
Furyk by a single shot. He has won this year (Buick Classic) and
finished 2nd in the previous WGC event, the NEC Invitational, in August.
A top-20 finish last week was a promising return after a five-week
layoff and he certainly doesn't warrant that price this week.
Matchup plays (1 unit):
Robert Allenby to beat Rory Sabbatini -110 @
Sportingbet
and
Sporting Odds
Good performances in the last two years in this event by Sabbatini, but
not in the best of form at the moment: Allenby has finished ahead of him
in seven of their last eight common events across all Tours.
Jim Furyk to beat Stuart Appleby -137 @
Sportingbet
and
Sporting Odds
Appleby's 2nd place finish last week was the first time in five common
events across all Tours that he had finished ahead of Furyk. With
Furyk's record-breaking performances in this event, it is hard to see
him make it two from six.
(available generally)
Joe Durant to beat Tommy Armour -130 @ Five
Dimes
First time back in action since the career-changing win at the Texas
Open, I fully expect Armour to extend his run of missed cuts in this
event to four.
Chad Campbell to beat Scott McCarron -110 @
Sportingbet
and
Sporting Odds
Campbell has finished ahead of McCarron in four of their last five
common starts (all Tours) and in 15 of 20 on the PGA Tour in the past
year. This is not an even matchup.
Jim Furyk to beat Sergio Garcia -190 @
Pinnacle
And nor is this! Furyk holds a 10-1-1 h2h record against Garcia on the
PGA Tour in the past week and with these pro-ams turning into putting
contests, Garcia will surely struggle given last week's failings with
the short stick.
(also available at Olympic, Aces, Sirbet and Five Dimes)
Billy Mayfair to beat Steve Lowery -125 @
WWTS
With just one cut made from his last five starts, Lowery is very
opposable. Mayfair has only missed one of his last five and can boast
two 2nd place finishes in this event in the past decade; Lowery has yet
to finish in the top-15 in as many years.
Final update:
Matchups: 2-4-0; -2.82 units
Allenby/Sabbatini TIED (Loss)
Furyk/Appleby LOST by 9
Durant/Armour WON by 11
Campbell/McCarron LOST by 19
Furyk/Garcia WON by 8
Mayfair/Lowery LOST by 19
Outrights: 1-2; +13.63 units
Furyk 13th
Appleby 1st
Kaye mc
When Appleby bogeyed the last hole on Saturday night to half his lead
from two shots to one, I knew that Sunday would be a tense affair ...
and it was. McCarron was very impressive, but Appleby still had the
upper hand until he dropped a shot on the 17th. It then became a matter
of who could putt on the 18th green and luckily it was Appleby who
prevailed when they returned for the first extra hole. Certainly made
amends for Allenby's antics on the last hole when a triple-bogey seven
meant a three-shot lead over Sabbatini evaporated into a losing tie. It
he had just made double-bogey it would have been an impressive
break-even return from the six matchups in which three were opposing the
players were finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the championship!
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