Memorial Tournament

Outright plays (1 unit):

Vijay Singh to win 12/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Paddy Power and BlueSq
Wouldn't normally back players to win back-to-back, but he did tactfully decide to withdraw from last week's event so he had a week's holiday to refocus and try to get himself out of the Sorenstam debate. Hopefully he can now maintain his form that has been so impressive returning from injury and with an even more impressive course history - one win and three further top-5 finishes in the last six years - he looks a strong contender this week.

Mike Weir to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James, Paddy Power and UKBetting
Weir can't boast the same course form as Singh, though he was 4th in 2000 and been solid on his other three appearances, but having won three times in ten starts this year, he is certainly worthy of attention. He took an extended break after winning the Masters, but his confidence can't be doubted and he has won twice this year with Tiger in the field.

Justin Leonard to win 28/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Leonard stole some of Perry's headlines with his 61 on Sunday when a birdie on the last would have netted him the 59. There is a fear that there may be a fallout from that near-miss, but his form has been good in the past few weeks with 9th in the Byron Nelson Classic before last week's runners-up spot. He also won the Honda Classic in March. His course form is not too bad either - 2nd in 2000, 7th in 1999 and a win in the U.S. Amateur in 1992 - so 28/1 looks a decent price.

Others that made it to the shortlist: Allenby (8/1 place); Sluman (11/1 place); Harrington 33/1.

Matchup plays (1 unit unless stated):

Stuart Appleby to beat Trevor Immelman -111 @ BetandWin [2 units]
Looking to oppose Immelman who lost out via a playoff for the Volvo PGA Championship on Sunday. Travelling across the Atlantic is reason enough to oppose a player and so is being involved in a playoff the week before. With just two cuts made from five starts on the PGA Tour this season, a missed cut last year and a career 0-5-0 h2h against Appleby, he looks very opposable this week. Expekt offer -118 with ties decided at a dead heat.

Mike Weir to beat Trevor Immelman -164 @ William Hill [2 units]
Immelman has never beaten Appleby on the PGA Tour and the same with Weir who has a far stronger chance of winning this week. Will take the unsavoury odds for an unexpected matchup.

Stuart Appleby to beat Rory Sabbatini -111 @ Paddy Power [2 units]
Sabbatini had his best week of the year last week en route to finishing 5th at the Colonial, but he is far from a consistent player and tees it up this week on a course on which he has previously struggled. In six previous rounds, he has a scoring average of 75.17 and has broken par just once. Appleby just looks the more solid player and has a decent history on this course.

Mark Calcavecchia to beat Rory Sabbatini -110 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Calc's course form is even better even though he missed the cut last year. He was 2nd in 1995 and has been in contention several times since. He was also 2nd in the Houston Open last month and has missed just one cut in eleven starts this season. Sabbatini may have another big week, but Calc looks far more likely to make the cut.

Stewart Cink to beat Adam Scott -125 @ Expekt
No course history and having played at Wentworth over the weekend, Scott is another to oppose this week, particularly against Cink who has been in very good form this season and finished in the top-10 in the last two years. With a 5-1-0 h2h advantage to Cink over the past year as well, these look goods odds for Cink.

Adding (1 unit unless stated):

Notah Begay to beat John Daly -110 @ WSEX
Should be decided before the weekend as both have failed to reach that mark in their last three events. But always look to oppose Daly and particularly on this course as three of his last ten rounds at Muirfield Village have been in the 80s. Begay made the cut in his only previous visit and a repeat should be more than enough.

Steve Flesch to beat Adam Scott -130 @ Intertops
Hard to oppose a player who has one once and finished in the top-15 in four of his last five starts and in two of his last three visits to Muirfield Village. Can't see him winning another title, but should certainly beat Scott for the reasons cited above.

Fred Funk to beat Hank Kuehne -170 @ WSEX [2 units]
Kuehne's game has gone off the boil a little since his two top-3 finishes in April. His best finish in three starts in May has been 43rd and there is little reason to expect an improvement this week. He has never played this course (and experience is essential this week) and Nicklaus has narrowed the fairwas by an average of 4 yards this year. Funk has played particularly well in his last two events and hasn't missed a cut here for ten years. A justifiable price for a strong favourite.

Jim Furyk to beat Justin Leonard -111 @ SIA
Leonard's recent form has been very impressive, but there has been no-one as consistent as Furyk this year - he has nine top-10 finishes from twelve starts. He has the burden of being defending champion this week and so was not considered for the outrights, but against this consistency he should at the very least provide a hedge play against Leonard should he fail to be as consistent as Gentle Jim this week.

1st round plays (2 units):

Stuart Appleby to beat Mark Calcavecchia -110 @ Sirbet
Jim Furyk to beat Mike Weir -120 @ Five Dimes
Geoff Ogilvy to beat Rory Sabbatini -115 @ Five Dimes

1st round update: 1-2-0; -2.50 units

Appleby/Calcavecchia LOST by 2
Furyk/Weir WON by 4
Ogilvy/Sabbatini LOST by 7

2nd round plays (2 units unless stated):

Bob Tway to beat Brad Faxon -105 @ Sirbet
Bob Tway to beat John Huston -130 @ Five Dimes [3 units]
Mike Weir to beat Jim Furyk -108 @ Five Dimes

2nd round update: 2-0-1; +5.00 units

Tway/Faxon WON by 5
Tway/Huston WON by 2
Weir/Furyk TIED (Push)

Mid-point update:

Appleby/Immelman WON by 5
Weir/Immelman WON by 5
Appleby/Sabbatini All Square
Calcavecchia/Sabbatini Leads by 3
Cink/Scott All Square
Begay/Daly LOST by 12
Flesch/Scott LOST by 14
Funk/Kuehne WON by 2
Furyk/Leonard Leads by 2

Singh 4th
Weir 30th
Leonard 16th

Decent position at the cut with the matchups and a chance of a profit with the outrights. Would take things as they stand, though surely Perry can't hold to win again!

3rd round plays (1 unit):

Ben Crane to beat John Daly -140 @ Moneyplays
Tim Petrovic to beat Woody Austin -120 @ Sirbet
Jay Haas to beat Brad Faxon -110 @ Five Dimes

3rd round update: 2-1-0; +0.80 units

Crane/Daly WON by 10
Petrovic/Austin LOST by 2
Haas/Faxon WON by 3

4th round plays (1 unit):

Vijay Singh to beat Retief Goosen -140 @ Five Dimes and Moneyplays
Padraig Harrington to beat Jesper Parnevik -160 @ Moneyplays
Lee Janzen to beat Jose Maria Olazabal -128 @ Five Dimes

4th round update: 2-0-1; +2.00 units

Singh/Goosen WON by 2
Harrington/Parnevik TIED (Push)
Janzen/Olazabal WON by 3

Final update:

Matchups: 6-3-0; +6.49 units

Appleby/Sabbatini WON by 4
Calcavecchia/Sabbatini WON by 9
Cink/Scott WON by 11
Furyk/Leonard LOST by 4

18-holes: 7-3-1; +5.30 units

Outrights: 2-1; +2.63 units

Singh 4th
Weir 3rd
Leonard 11th

Very profitable event with profits on the matchups, 18-holes and outright plays. Very impressed by Perry yet again who built up such a large lead over the first three rounds that he could still stutter in the final stretch and win comfortably. This really is a year for experience on the PGA Tour!