Tipster: Stanley

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

Matchup plays (1.5 units unless stated):

Rod Pampling to beat Aaron Baddeley -125 @ Centrebet
Baddeley remains on the 'to oppose list' as a 15th place and a missed cut in his two starts this year are not noteworthy, plus he has only played this course once and that was under very different condition in the 2000 U.S. Open - he missed the cut. Pampling has been 32nd and 10th in the last two years and in the top-15 in the last two weeks, so he should be a clear favourite in this match.

Fred Couples to beat Matt Gogel -111 @ BetandWin [3 units]
Gogel won this event two years ago, but missed the cut last year and in both of his starts this year. His form may pick up on his return to Pebble Beach, but Couples can boast a 8-1-0 h2h record against him over the past 12 months and can also boast a fine record in pro-am events.

Vijay Singh to beat Phil Mickelson -158 @ Pinnacle
Mickelson's improved resolve following a difficult personal time last year is encouraging to see for all golf fans, but he still showed last week that he still has himself to beat when in contention. No such worries over Singh whose tireless work on the practice ground is now paying off. He has finished ahead of Mickelson in each of the last five AT&T Pebble Beach pro-ams (plus the 2000 U.S. Open) and is worthy of the favourite title.

Kevin Sutherland to beat Rory Sabbatini -118 @ Expekt
With a season record of 25th (of 30), withdrawn after the first round and a missed cut in three starts, it is very easy to oppose Sabbatini. It is also encouraging to oppose him with a player coming off a top-10 finish, who plays well in home State of California and is a regular competitor (and even winner) of the non-Tour Pebble Beach event held each year in November.

Adding (1.5 units):

Jesper Parnevik to beat Mathias Gronberg -167 @ NordicBet
Parnevik put together an impressive run of form at the end of last season and has followed it with just as impressive a run at the start of this season - 15th in Sony Open and 5th in the Bob Hope Chrysler Classic. Not good enough to get back into the Ryder Cup team, but more than a match for the PGA Tour rookie Gronberg who has not played this course before, finished 62nd in only start this year (Bob Hope Chrysler Classic) and has a 0-4-0 h2h record against his compatriot on the PGA Tour.

Final update: 5-0-0; +9.00 units

Pampling/Baddeley WON by 2
Couples/Gogel WON by 7
Singh/Mickelson WON by 4
Sutherland/Sabbatini WON by 5
Parnevik/Gronberg WON by 8

First sweep of the PGA Tour season and most welcome after struggling in previous weeks. Need a few more if we're going to get out of this hole!

Tipster: Shaker

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

In-running bet (after round 2):

Bet Tim Herron in 3rd round 2ball against J.J. Henry 1.5 pts
--Prices are 1.82 on Betfair (go as low as 1.76)

Herron has a fine record here and is running into form nicely, both last week and this. He has little pressure on him today whereas Henry has the worry of being one off the lead, something that history suggests will adversely affect his game. Herron is by far the better player anyway and although things haven't gone right lately I'm very confident about this one.

Result ... 1.83 pts loss.
The bleeding didn't stop here with Herron's triple bogey on the 16th resulting in him only being able to tie the expected poor score of Henry's (3 over par).