Buick Open

Tournament Trades (Andy) (All FP advices = 0.5pt stakes) Profit 35.25 Pts

Final Summary
Wow

Sell John Huston FP at 42 with Cantor Sports MC MU 50 Profit -4 pts
Huston has 3 missed cuts in a row but his overall 2004 record is ok. When he does make the cut he rarely finishes outwith the top 50 (only once) and his average FP over the year is a few points lower than he can be sold at this week.

Sell Jim Furyk FP at 26 with IG Sport MU 6.5, Profit 9.75 pts
Furyk, since his injury, has posted results of 48, 7, MC. That in itself would suggest he is struggling a little but the MC was at the Open and the 48th was at the US Open, his very first event. Using the assumption that he can only get better with each passing week we would suggest a sell on a player with a course record of 15/9/16/2/10/1.

Sell Scott Verplank at 27 with Spreadex MU 10.5, Profit 8.25 pts
Verplank is a player we usually support in FP betting as he is so consistent. His course form is good, he has cleared 27 in each of the last 4 years, averaging around 19. He is in form currently with an 11th last week and a 7th in the Open. All in all, a regular sell of Verplank this year at around this price would have made money, and we will do so again this week.

Sell Jeff Sluman at 35 with Spreadex MU 6.5, Profit 14.25 pts
Last week i made a point of saying that Course form wasn't the be all and end all of FP betting and that sometimes, like in the case of Stricker last week, it can sometimes just be a run of results. However, there are players who year after year, put up the case for the "Course over Current" punters and at the Buick Open it is Jeff Sluman. In 8 years, 36th is his worst finish and he has in that time posted 6 Top 30 places. As a great believer though in current form we have to study that. His record is three Top 30's in his last four events. Good enough for me.

Sell Briny Baird at 38 with Spreadex MC MU 50, Profit -6 pts
Baird in 2004 has not been the regular high finisher he was in 03'. In fact, it is back to the Byron Nelson in May since the last time he even beat today's quote. I still feel that he is a player who in time could prove to be better than a 38-41 FP quote and he proved he could play this course by finishing 2nd last year.

Sell Jerry Kelly at 34.5 with Spreadex (spread free, as 4 bets placed) MU 8.5, Profit 13 pts
No great course form and his current form is good but not spectacular. This is a bet based on price and nothing else. Kelly should be around 31 so to add 1.5 pts to Spreadex's quote gives us a value bet.