Buick Classic (1.5pts unless stated):
Stephen Ames to beat Adam Scott -110 @
SIA
Straightforward choice. While Ames has been in superb form with six
top-7 finishes in his last seven starts and finished 9th on his last
visit to Westchester, Scott has missed three of his last four cuts,
including rounds of 79 and 80 (twice). He also finished 14 shots behind
Ames on the only occasion he played here.
Jay Haas to beat Shigeki Maruyama -114 @
Expekt
In their last five events, Haas has three top-10 finishes and no missed
cuts; Maruyama has one top-10 finish and two missed cuts. It is
therefore no surprise that Haas has finished ahead of Maruyama in each
of their last four common events and should make it five this week.
Fredrik Jacobson to beat Miguel Angel Jimenez -120 @
William Hill
and
Easybets
[3pts]
I just think that Jimenez is completely overrated as a golfer. He had a
torrid time when he last committed to the PGA Tour and his record on
this course is not particularly impressive. I will always have Jacobson
in this matchup. He also completes a trio of matchups in which the
outright selection is backed again.
(also available at Nordicbet)
Kenny Perry to beat Loren Roberts -130 @ WSEX
Perry's big-hitting will be of little use around Westchester and he
hasn't played here for a decade, but he is still a completely different
class of player to the fading Roberts. Roberts has failed to finish
ahead of Perry in any event since the Bob Hope Classic in January, can't
see it happening this week despite the course.
Vijay Singh to beat David Toms -150 @
Five
Dimes
One swallow and all that ... Toms still has a lot to prove if he is to
be back in the top class of players on Tour. His record in this event is
mixed at best, which three missed cuts in five starts and any fears that
Vijay is golfed-out should be erased by looking at his form before the
Masters. It showed a similar downturn after an incredible run, but
started to improve considerably just before the Major. It should happen
again this week.
Adding (1.5pts):
Kenny Perry to beat Chris DiMarco -134 @
Pinnacle
Opposing DiMarco who has never broken par on this course in his four
previous visits - he missed the cut every time. Perry is coming off a
top-10 finish in the Memorial and should easily make the cut.
(also available at Aces, Intertops, Sirbet, Five Dimes and Olympic)
Final update: 4-1-1; +5.75pts
Ames/Scott LOST by 3
Haas/Maruyama TIED (Dead heat)
Jacobson/Jimenez WON by 15
Perry/Roberts WON by 2
Singh/Toms WON by 12
Singh/DiMarco WON by 3
Healthy profit on the matchups to more than cover the losses on the
outrights. Was rather fortuitous that Roberts crumbled so badly when
leading the event after three rounds. There was a 12-shot swing in the
final round on that play!
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