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Chrysler Championship @
Betfair
Summary:
3.5 pts down the drain with Campbell being
rubbish from the off and Baird quickly losing all chance just a few
holes into the third round.
Selection 1 Back:
Chad Campbell 2 pts @ 70
Despite winning once this year, to call
2004 a disappointment for young Chad would be a big understatement.
There is little in his recent form to suggest he'll suddenly find it
again but I am going to take a chance on a big return to form this week.
Since the start of 2003 he has had a tied-8th the week after a MC, a
tied-6th following a tied-74th, a tied 7th following a tied-40th, a 2nd
following a T39th, a 2nd following a tied-48th ..... get my drift?!! And
despite his last two efforts being poor he actually has 5 top-10s from
his last 8 events in Florida, including a tied-4th here last year.
Selection 1 Lay:
2 pts @ 18 (to lose 34 pts)
4 pts @ 8 (28 pts)
6 pts @ 4.5 (21 pts) Profit if successful = 55 pts
Selection 2 Back:
Briny Baird 1.5 pts @ 85
Another who has been disappointing this
year, well at least compared to his 2003 tally of 7 top-10s. Last week's
2nd place was his first top-10 since late February, but it was a very
impressive performance from this top-class iron player. He hit so many
approaches close to the pin last week that, even allowing for the very
different course this time around, he has to go close if in the same
form. In fact, the type of course here should suit this sometimes shaky
putter even more than the Disney 'birdie-fest' ... looking at last
year's top 8 finishers, 5 of them were in the top 12 for GIR percentages
over the whole of the PGA season, and 6th-placed Levet was 4th in the
European GIR list. Included there is Baird himself, 2nd-best GIR for the
year, and finishing clear 3rd in the tournament and clear top for GIR
for the week. Despite the generally poor look of his 2004, he is still
7th overall for GIR and after last week absolutely everything looks in
place for a big run.
Selection 2 Lay:
1.5 pts @ 18 (to lose 25.5 pts)
3 pts @ 9.4 (25.2 pts)
6 pts @ 4.4 (20.4 pts)
6 pts @ 2.4 (8.4 pts) Profit if successful = 46.5 pts
The lays
are at set prices, based on the original back price, and are left up for
the duration of the tournament. Please note:
they are to be put up as soon as possible after
the market is placed in-running.
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