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Chrysler Classic of Greensboro @
Betfair
Summary:
No good here, even though both looked lively for
a while and at different stages they both traded at around a third of
the starting odds. Johnson fell away tamely after going down to 12/1
during round one and was particularly disappointing to not threaten in
such a weak heat. Glover's struggles were on the par threes and you
can't expect to be in with a chance if you are 6 over par for them in
the first three rounds. Loss 4 pts.
Selection 2 Back:
Lucas Glover 1 pt @ 210 (or 200/1 at
GolfingGods)
Several eye-catching little stats make
for interesting reading with Glover:
--He was born in South Carolina, this tournament is in neighbouring
North Carolina
--His best PGA Tour finish was in North Carolina, tied-10th at the
Wachovia
--His 2nd best finish was last week, tied-15th with no rounds over 68
--His 3rd best finish was in South Carolina, tied-16th at the Heritage
--He played in either North or South Carolina 4 times in 2002 & 2003 on
the Nationwide Tour, three of his finishes were tied-3rd, tied-4th &
tied 8th.
So to summarise: he is in good form, coming off his best fortnight of
his short PGA Tour career, and he is playing in an area where he was
born, still lives, and where his last five appearances have been
T3-T8-T4 (Nationwide Tour) & T16-T10 (Main Tour). We have already had
four winners on tour this year who were playing full-time Nationwide
Tour golf last season .... why can't Glover be number five?
Selection 2 Lay:
1 pts @ 36 (to lose 35 pts)
2 pts @ 22 (42 pts)
4 pts @ 8 (28 pts)
8 pts @ 3.8 (22.4 pts) Profit if successful = 81.6 pts
Selection 1 Back:
Zach Johnson 3 pts @ 33/1 at
BlueSq
Just think this is too big a price about
one of America's biggest new names (says a lot there, he is 28 after
all!). He is in his first full season on tour but has already captured
his maiden win and is looking very much like he is ready to add another.
Current form of 3-13-3-10 is of a standard that surpasses the vast
majority, if not all, of this field and to see him 33/1 alongside such
names as Jerry Kelly, Robert Allenby & Brad Faxon - players whose
reputations far outweighs their ability for winning golf tournaments -
is very surprising. He has the potential to leave them way behind in
years to come, and in this kind of form he should surely be no bigger
than 20/1 in a field of this quality which is headed by vulnerable
favourites. Only 32 to back on Betfair at the moment which is still
acceptable if, or when, the 33/1 disappears.
Selection 1 Lay:
3 pts @ 9.2 (to lose 24.6 pts)
6 pts @ 4.3 (19.8 pts)
6 pts @ 2.64 (9.84 pts) Profit if successful = 44.76 pts
The lays
are at set prices, based on the original back price, and are left up for
the duration of the tournament. Please note:
they are to be put up as soon as possible after
the market is placed in-running.
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