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**I am running a Betfair account which is used exclusively for
plays mentioned here. Every single play I put up here will go immediately on my Betfair
account. Started the account with £1000 and my rate will be
£20 per Point. The stakes will
vary from the minimum of 0.25 pts to the maximum of 10 pts (so £5 to
£200 for me) unless I am laying short odds. With the account being used solely for Tour-Tips, it will
therefore tell us exactly what the profit/loss record
of this page is, including commission costs. If you wish to take these
plays as recommendations, please do so but be aware that I can only
manage the bets that I have actually struck and cannot give updates for
bets you may have had (or not had) which are different to what is put up here.**
John Deere Classic @
Betfair
FINAL RESULT:
Loss = 3 pts
Bank is now £1399.73 after 13 weeks (Up 19.99 pts overall).
Summary:
Not a bad effort by two of the four; both Sluman and, particularly,
Hoch looked like getting involved on occasions, and as late as
mid-Sunday they both hit the top 8, but it wasn't to be. There was the
expected good iron play by the two to see them put in a decent week, but
ultimately they couldn't fulfil the hopes I had for their putting.
Page Update #1:
(Winner market)
Back Scott Hoch 1.25 pts @ 75
Back Jeff Sluman 0.75 pt @ 75
Back J.J. Henry 0.5 pt @ 100
Back Rocco Mediate 0.5 pt @ 260
Not very inspired at all by this
event and disappointed at the lack of liquidity on Betfair, resulting in
not overly-generous prices. Maybe it's the poor field not exciting me,
and being sandwiched in between Major events wouldn't help, and also
it's not easy to see what type of players this course now favours. I
don't think driving is important here and I'm just edging towards
favouring the GIR specialists over those with better short games after
the course was toughened up prior to last year's event.
In their current form, hitting greens but putting poorly certainly
covers Sluman, Henry and Mediate, and I can only hope one of them finds
some form on the greens this week.
Sluman has now switched to the belly putter (since the Memorial) and his
form has improved. He was lying 22nd at halfway at the Buick Classic a
month ago when a silly technicality saw him being DQed and he followed
that with 11th at the Booz Allen. Last week he struggled to 47th by
putting poorly on that putters course, but his ball striking was top
notch; it is to be hoped that his previous improvement on the greens can
be found again - if it is he could easily do as well as his 4th here in
2001.
Henry has, barring the freakish US Open, been T5th, T11th & 2nd for GIR
on his last three outings, and this has led to some improved finishes of
16th, 18th & 23rd. Also a factor in that improvement would have been
some better putting, and overall he has made definite progress in that
area this season.
Mediate has had a desperate season but there are definite signs that he
is on the way back. He said at the Memorial, three outings ago, how he
felt so much better and his game was coming around, and he followed that
up by being tied top for GIR at the Buick Classic and then playing well
in a 2-day charity event. Despite missing the cut at the Western Open he
had shot the joint-best score of the day in the pro-am on the eve of the
event, and overall you can see how he's progressing; over 200/1 is too
big in this field, I feel.
Hoch was a deadline-day addition to this field, and I take that to mean
he's pleased with his 11th place last week. That was a welcome return to
form after having had wrist trouble, but we mustn't forget how it was
only just over two months ago he was chasing down Vijay Singh in
Houston. He went off under 40/1 the following week because of that
second successive top-7 and seeing how his iron play is looking so good
again, I think anything around the best bookmaker's quote of 66/1 is
very appealing.
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