Andy is on holiday until the Open Championship

John Deere Classic

FINAL RESULT: 1-3-1; -6.90pts

Haas/Hoch TIED (Dead heat)
Price/Johnson LOST by 5
Ogilvy/Perez LOST by 3
Haas/Johnson WON by 2
Roberts/Kuehne LOST by 6

Poor. Very poor.

Further 72-hole plays (1.5pts):

Jay Haas to beat Zach Johnson -125 @ Five Dimes
Extension of the previous plays. Johnson has very poor course form and even in terms of his very successful 2004 season, he is not at the same level at Haas. Their 2004 h2h record stands at 8-2-0 in favour of the veteran.

Loren Roberts to beat Hank Kuehne -200 @ WSEX
Have had a spate of plays at my limit of -200 in the past few weeks. The value lies in the selection being expecting to win more than 2/3 of the matches between these two players. Roberts has finished ahead of Kuehne in five of their last six common events and has a worst finish of 22nd in his last five starts; Kuehne hasn't finished as high as 22nd since February (13 starts). Roberts really should win this match far more than two-thirds of the time.

72-hole plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Jay Haas to beat Scott Hoch -118 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Neither player has played on this course, so with current form as the main indicator, Haas should be a stronger favourite. In six common events this year, he has finished behind Hoch only once. Another play on the outright selection.

Nick Price to beat Zach Johnson -111 @ SIA [3pts]
Johnson has played this course previously, but it is hardly an advantage as he has missed the cut by quite some distance on both occasions. With Price having finished ahead of Johnson is five out of their last six common events, he is another who should be a stronger favourite.

Geoff Ogilvy to beat Pat Perez -120 @ William Hill and Easybets
Perez does have a good history on this course, but as pointed out for the outright selections, it seems to matter little here. So with Ogilvy dominating this matchup - 15-5-0 h2h over the past twelve months - this looks a good reason to back another one of the outright selections in the matchups.