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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipsters: Andy & Shaker

Andy is on holiday until the Open Championship

John Deere Classic

From Shaker:

Buy Jeff Maggert FP at 30 with Spreadex for 0.5 pts
I do not keep these records, but I'm fairly sure it's a very rare occasion indeed that Maggert's finishing position is set at 27-30, whatever field is taking part. The reason is obviously his recent form, namely his last-time-out 3rd place in the US Open, but even this above average season for Maggert is littered with poor finishes. His finishing position for 2004 makes up at an average of over 34 (15 completed events, not including a WD), and this despite five top tens sneaking in there. His paltry record of 8 top tens in his previous three seasons shows the standard of golf which is his norm, and between the start of 2001 and now he has followed a top ten (13 of them) with a finish better than today's buy mark of 30 on only 2 occasions. Consistency is not a word associated with Maggert's career any more and I think that finish in the freakish US Open (coupled maybe with his fine Masters effort last year) has distorted some people's view of him - he clearly cannot be relied upon to back it up this week with any kind of decent finish. His finishing position average taking into account last season as well as this stands at around 38 (over 40 for last year alone) and I cannot see any reason why this price isn't at least 4 points higher.

MU 50, Profit = 10 pts
A pleasing result with, despite Maggert making the cut, there was never much danger of collecting less than the maximum profit; he was almost last of the qualifiers when withdrawing around the halfway stage of the final round. Nice to spot an undoubtedly good price and be rewarded by the expected performance.