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Betfair Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Shaker

Michelin Championship @ Betfair

Summary:
Well, at least there was some action. But then, with Leonard and half-way leader Lewis, especially, ultimately flopping it has to be considered another big disappointment.
5.5 pts staked, 6 pts laid, Profit 0.5 pt.
(Some 6.4 was laid about Lewis but it was such a small amount I couldn't consider labelling the price as 'laid' for the records)

Adding:
Selection 3 Back:
Justin Leonard 3 pts @ 34
(33/1 with
UKBetting, Tote, Totalbet)
The thinking is that the price is too big for an established player who so nearly secured his 2nd Major less than 2 months ago, and one who has shown definite signs of better days to come in his last two outings. After making his way to 4th place at halfway in last week's WGC event in Ireland, he was interviewed and he stated how pleased he had been with his game in shooting 65-68-68-66 to make 10th place in his previous event in Texas; rounds one and two last week made it 6 excellent rounds in succession. We have to forgive the third round 77, and to a lesser extent the Sunday 73, last week but they are the reason we can get 33/1 and not 20/1. Putting has been the real reason for the poor season but there have been occasions in the last three months when he has found it (3rd for putting average in both the Open & the PGA), and if he can here he should be a big runner.
Selection 3 Lay:
3 pts @ 9.2
(to lose 24.6 pts) **MATCHED**
6 pts @ 4.3 (19.8 pts)
6 pts @ 2.66 (9.96 pts) Profit if successful = 44.64 pts
---


Selection 1 Back:

Ted Purdy 1.5 pts @ 110
(or 100/1 with Sportingbet / Sporting Odds)
Teddy Boy has come agonisingly close to securing his maiden tour win on two occasions this season and after the second of those, in mid-July at the BC Open, he seemed to suffer a reaction. Five MCs, a 62nd and a 32nd was all he had to show for his next seven outings but I like the way he buckled down and played his way through it by appearing nine weeks in a row. This will be his tenth but seeing as his 7th, 8th & 9th were rewarded with a big upturn in form (T5/T25/T19) I envisage him being raring to go again. His best three finishes of the last five months (two of them in the last 3 weeks with him putting really well) have been on the three easiest-scoring courses he has played and this week will undoubtedly be another birdie-fest.
Selection 1 Lay:
1.5 pts @ 23
(to lose 33 pts)
3 pts @ 12 (33 pts)
6 pts @ 5.4 (26.4 pts)
6 pts @ 2.8 (10.8 pts) Profit if successful = 60.3 pts

Selection 2 Back:

J.L.Lewis 1 pt @ 160

Again, and possibly even more so, here is a player who performs best when the birdies are flying. Looking at his stats I can't quite work out why, but there is little doubt in my mind that the time to speculate a few pennies on him is in these kind of tournaments - his win last year came with a Sunday 62 and his '99 win was secured with rounds of 66-65-65-65. The fact he has some good other pro-am finishes to his credit is encouraging too - 5 top-25s in the last three years - and his recent Sunday 63 in Texas gave him his best finish for 9 months. The poor performance last time out has to be overlooked but the odds wouldn't have been so big without it, and we have a player who is not scared to go as low as is necessary to win.
Selection 2 Lay:
1 pts @ 27
(to lose 26 pts) **MATCHED**
2 pts @ 17 (32 pts) **MATCHED**
4 pts @ 6.4 (21.6 pts)
8 pts @ 3.1 (16.8 pts) Profit if successful = 62.6 pts


The lays are at set prices, based on the original back price, and are left up for the duration of the tournament. Please note:
they are to be put up as soon as possible after the market is placed in-running.