Sony Open in Hawaii
Outright plays (1.5 units):
Retief Goosen to win 14/1 e.w. @
Stan James
Looked to be playing very well last week and will gladly take a price at
just two points less in a field without Tiger. As outlined last week,
Goosen habitually starts the year in good form and could very easily
have won this title last year. He was the first round leader after 18
and 36 holes, but failed to break 70 over the weekend. In his current
form, he should certainly make amends this year.
Davis Love to win 16/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
On the back of a solid top-10 finish, this should also be a good event
for Love. Before his missed cut from one poor round last year (75-67),
he had finished in the top-10 in his last four visits to Waialae,
including 2nd place finishes in 1994 and 1999. Had expected much lower
odds than this.
Charles Howell to win 40/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Had also expected much lower odds on Howell. His course form is very
good - 4th and 15th in the last two years, plus he shot 62 in 2002 - and
there are benefits to staying out of the trade winds in last week's
event. Had vowed to be wary of backing Howell in the outright markets
after he surrendered many promising weekend positions last year, but
40/1 is just too large.
Final update: 1-2; -0.75 units
Goosen 10th
Love 3rd
Howell 27th
Love did well to hang on to the coattails of the leaders
after they looked to be running away from the field and in the end an
eagle at the par-five last would have earned him a place in the playoff.
He could only par the hole and a place finish was a fair result for the
week. Goosen hung around the top-10, but never looked to be playing as
well as last week.
|