|
|
|
|
Tour Championship @
Betfair
Summary:
Hallelujah!!
A winner to end the season and some very welcome cheer after weeks and
weeks of plugging away when nothing was going right. Goosen was
obviously helped by Woods and Haas struggling on Sunday but overall his
iron play was truly fantastic and better putting would have seen him
home in a canter - the 17 greens in regulation out of 18 in round 4 was
a particularly brilliant effort and even then he only missed the last
green by a matter of inches.
Profit 65.55 pts (assuming 5% commission).
Selection 1 Back:
Steve Flesch 1 pt @ 150
An in-form Flesch would be as low as
50/1 and after months of dishing up reason after reason for supporting
selections, with little success, I am offering this one, simply, on the
back of the price being eyecatching for a player of this quality. It
does look like Singh is going to be incredibly hard to beat but there
are just 30 rivals overall and hopefully Flesch can repeat his first
round 66 of the 2000 Tour Championship on this course and suddenly find
his form again, as these golfers often do. He finally shook off the
'bottler' tag with an impressive second tour win in May and, although he
has played pretty poorly since, bar a 7th in the US Open, it surely is
only a matter of time before he starts contending again.
Selection 1 Lay:
1 pt @ 26 (to lose 25 pts)
2 pts @ 16 (30 pts)
4 pts @ 6 (20 pts)
8 pts @ 3 (16 pts) Profit if successful = 58 pts
The lays
are at set prices, based on the original back price, and are left up for
the duration of the tournament. Please note:
they are to be put up as soon as possible after
the market is placed in-running.
Selection 2 Back:
Retief Goosen 4 pts @ 18.5
If, as expected, Singh contends here
then it would take a world-class golfer in top form to have a chance of
denying him an unbelievable 10th win this season. I can't have Woods,
Els, or Mickelson this week, Garcia still doesn't close the top
tournaments out like the very best should, and Toms, Scott, Love,
Clarke, Harrington, Weir, Appleby and the rest are more prone to showing
average-to-poor form than they are of playing to their full world-class
capabilities. I can't offer anything you don't know already about Goosen
but his two US Open
wins proved he can stare anything and anyone in the face and come out on
top, and he is showing a tendency to perform well in this season-ending
event. His two Tour Championship appearances have been 3rd last year &
tied-9th on this course in 2002 and to me looks the one who has most
chance of performing at 100% this week and taking on and conquering even
a peak-form Singh.
No set lays with Goosen due to the low price, will look between rounds
if the situation arises.
|
|