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Outright Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Tour Championship

FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Toms 10th
DiMarco 24th
Johnson 13th

Not even a sniff of a place win!

 

Further outright play (1.5pts):

Zach Johnson to win 33/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, BetInternet, Victor Chandler and Ladbrokes
Johnson was challenging to be in the final group until a disastrous 7-4-4 finish yesterday. Normally such a loss of momentum would be reason enough to lay a player at this stage of the event and that thinking is certainly behind his current odds, but his record suggests otherwise. The last time he had such a late derailment in the 2nd round was in the 84 Lumber Classic six week ago when he finished 7-3-4. As this week, he fell back to 7th place, but he recorded just one more bogey in the rest of the tournament and finished in 3rd place. A repeat performance will yield a healthy profit and as this time he doesn’t have World no.1, Vijay Singh, at the head of the field, there is still the chance of victory from this position.

 

Outright plays (1.5pts):

David Toms to win 25/1 e.w. @ GolfingGods
Not backing Vijay at less than 3/1, so hoping for at least a place finish from one of these two better-priced players. Toms has shown good form recently with finishes of 4th and 6th in his last two events and he does to come to a course on which he has form, finishing 3rd and 11th in his last two visits. With his major title also being won in this State, there is plenty of reason to expect Toms to be a challenger this week and he represents value at 20/1 and above.

Chris DiMarco to win 40/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes and GolfingGods
Not as convincing a case for DiMarco, but the odds are a worthy compensation. He has been playing well and contending most weeks that he has played in the last three months and is certainly capable of a top-4 finish. He did finish 7th two years ago around this course and, like Toms, he is a winner in this State (2001 Buick Challenge) so he really shouldn't be 40/1 in a 31-man field.

 

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