Matchup Picks

Tournament trades (1.5pts):

Justin Leonard to beat Joe Durant -110 @ BlueSq
Leonard is not exactly competitive at the moment, but his 9-for-9 in cuts made in 2004 makes him ideal matchup material. His worst finish this year has been 44th. He has finished ahead of Durant in their last three common events so should be shorter odds to repeat the feat.

Justin Leonard to beat Kevin Sutherland -140 @ WSEX
Easy to oppose Sutherland who has missed three of his last four cuts. In fact, he has only finished ahead of Leonard three times in the past year, so there should be little reason to expect anything but a Leonard win here.

Jay Haas to beat Steve Flesch -125 @ Sportingbet and Sporting Odds
Flesch has failed to finish ahead of Haas in any of their last five PGA Tour events and he missed the cut last year. Did consider Haas for the outrights (top-5 only), but looks a much better proposition in matches like this.

Davis Love to beat Mike Weir -128 @ Centrebet
Barring a troublesome back, this should be straightforward for Love. Weir has two missed cuts and a finish of 45th in his last three events and looks set to struggle again around this demanding course.
(also available at Five Dimes)

Final update: 0-3-1; -6.05pts

Leonard/Durant TIED (Lost)
Leonard/Sutherland LOST by 7
Haas/Flesch LOST by 5
Love/Weir TIED (Dead heat)

Another sorry effort! At least two out of four being tied, it could very easily have been a 2-2 week, but the result was a very poor blank.

PGA Tour

Tournament Trades (1.5 pts):

David Toms to beat Shigeki Maruyama -111 @ SIA 
Fancy a big week with Toms, after showing some great iron play last week, coming back to the course he plotted his way around so well last year. Maruyama has had nearly a month's break, had lost his form prior to that, and missed the cut here last year.

Sergio Garcia to beat Chris DiMarco -111 @ Easybets
It's hard to predict what DiMarco is going to do from week to week, but I'm fairly sure that tough courses aren't his cup of tea. He seems to thrive where it's more of a putting contest whereas I think the opposite is true of Garcia. He's reported to be coming back refreshed from a break after his super finish at Augusta and should be in a better frame of mind than DiMarco, who finished with a shocking 80 on Monday in New Orleans.

Zach Johnson to beat Geoff Ogilvy -110 @ SkyBet
If Johnson isn't the better player already, I'm sure he soon will be. He's quickly made a name for himself and his accurate game suggests he'll continue to excel on the tougher tracks of the big tournaments. Ogilvy has had a good run but that will end soon and it's likely to come at a course where his inaccuracy gets punished.
(also available at Paddy Power)

Hidemichi Tanaka to beat Geoff Ogilvy +108 @ Five Dimes
Tanaka bounced right back to form last week and he seems to have found his accuracy after a poor start to the season. This likeable character has what it takes to put in a consistent run and I can see this place suiting him.

Hidemichi Tanaka to beat Steve Flesch +100 @ NordicBet
Flesch had it all going for him last week, a perfect chance to break his run of generally poor form at a venue where he'd excelled in many previous years .. but he failed miserably. Can't see him, therefore, suddenly bouncing back here where he missed the cut last year.

Scott Hoch to beat Kirk Triplett +132 @ Pinnacle
It's the odds making me go in here as much as anything. Ordinarily Triplett bangs in plenty of high finishes but he had the perfect chance to build on a Masters 6th, and show he was really back to form again, when he opened with a 66 last week. However it all went downhill from there and T61st was the result. Even Hoch's disappointing finish surpassed that and he had had two very pleasing consecutive top tens before that.
(also available at Olympic and Five Dimes)


Final Update: 0-6; Loss 9.01 pts

Toms/Maruyama LOST by 2
Garcia/DiMarco LOST by 2
Johnson/Ogilvy LOST by 5
Tanaka/Ogilvy LOST by 19
Tanaka/Flesch LOST by 21
Hoch/Triplett LOST by 10

Please don't look ... HOW BAD??
0 for 11 the last two weeks on the PGA Tour!