84 Lumber Classic

Summary: Bets 3, Wins 2, Losses 1. Profit 10.31 Pts. After a horrendous run, it's good to provide a winning week which was assured on Friday night, with two of the three bets missing the cut.

Pre Round One Trades

Buy John Daly FP at 35 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U 50, Profit 7.5 Pts
As Daly is sponsored by 84Lumber he will appear here as long as his sponsorship is running. This though brings him a bit of extra work no doubt and does leave him without full concentration on performing. In the two years of the event he has been 13th and WD after R1 in the other year. Current form sees Daly post great results in Europe but in the States his stats are 14 maximum M/U's from 15 full field events in 05'. Admittedly his good week was a 2nd place in Houston but his average is 47.

Buy Zach Johnson FP at 32.5 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.5 Pts M/U 21.5, Loss 5.5 Pts
Buy Charles Howell III FP at 32.5 with Cantor Spreadfair for 0.5 Pts M/U 50, Profit 8.31 Pts
Johnson has noticeably this year had two runs of form where he has finished 3/8/8 in the first and 2/17/9 in the 2nd. Otherwise he has no Top 20's all season. This may be worth noting the next time he performs well to ignore his FP until he falls back to average but given those stats under 34 is good value. Howell has two Top 20's in his last 3 events but the other was a MC which lets you can argue that he has 7 50 M/U's in his last 9 events. So it all depends which way you wish to argue for Howell, defence or prosecution. Either way, his price should be higher to compensate for the positive arguments on both sides.