B.C. Open

0-8: -13pts

Another poor week - hopefully we'll get back on the winning trail soon.

Update after round 3:

Back Michael Bradley 1pt e/w @50/1 at SportingOdds/SportingBet (4 places 1/5) - update: price also available at BetInternet

Bradley is a two time winner on the PGA tour, albeit the most recent of those victories was around 7 years ago. These odds look very generous compared to those around him - double the price of the very inexperienced Matt Hendrix for example who sits only only shot ahead of him. He will very likely have to shoot a low score today to win it, but he has been improving each day: 70, 66, 64. If that progression continues then he will have a real chance, and being an experienced former winner there shouldn't be any question marks over his bottle to see it through. I also feel it is a good value e/w bet at these place terms.

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Adding:

Back John Senden 1.5pts e/w @40/1 at Tote

A price that is out of line with the market and as such can't be expected to last too long, so don't delay in getting on. Senden is definitely one of the top players in this field (rated second on the tour-tips rankings) and as such this is simply too big a price. 10th place here last year is a further positive.

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A strange tournament this one - completely overshadowed by the big one across the water. But that doesn't mean it should be overlooked for betting. The weak field and less familiar names can mean some big variations in prices and lots of value to be found. There is, and will continue to be, very poor liquidity on Betfair for this though, and looking to the bookies is virtually essential here.

Back RS Johnson 2pts e/w @28/1 at SportingOdds/SportingBet

I'm not really sure what angle to take on this tournament as to what type of player will be best suited - or if there even is one. The main positive for Johnson is that he is in very good form currently. 7th last week, 6th at the St Jude about a month back. Also two top 15 finishes on the Nationwide tour in-between. and bear in mind that this is practically a Nationwide tour field strength. I rate Johnson's chances as every bit as good as the market favourites Quigley and Byrd here.

Back Wes Short 0.75pts e/w @150/1 at SportingOdds/SportingBet

4th in last week's event and 7th on the Nationwide tour before that - again it's a player in good form - and this time at a massive price.

Back Marco Dawson 0.5pts e/w @200/1 at BlueSq, Victor Chandler

Persevering with Dawson as he has shown promise this season and I think he could pop up in the top reaches of a leaderboard anytime soon. This week field represents a great opportunity.

Back Doug Barron 0.25pts e/w @200/1 at BlueSq

4 missed cuts in a row would normally be more than enough to swerve a player, but prior to that Barron was doing very well this season - popping up in the top five twice already. Like most of the plays this week it's simply a case of the price being too big to turn down.

Back Jay Delsing to finish in the top five 0.5pts @62.5/1 at Centrebet

Back Hunter Haas to finish in the top five 0.5pts @62.5/1 at Centrebet

I don't have much at all positive to say about either of these two. If there was anything positive to say then they wouldn't be available at these huge odds simply to place in what is a very weak and not even full-sized field (only 124 players in this event). This is a funny event which can throw up completely unexpected results. Either of these two finishing in the top five would be unexpected, but not nearly as unlikely as these odds suggest.