Outright Picks - PGA Tour
|
|
|
BellSouth Classic FINAL RESULT:
0-2; -3.00pts Cink 64th
Johnson 26th
Donald dns I hate weather-affected events! Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Stewart Cink to win 12/1 e.w. available generally
The week after a Monday finish in the unofficial fifth major and the
week before the first major of the season, this is a difficult week to
get anyone motivated and there is no great inspiration here either!
Mickelson said that he used last year's event to practice his high fades
and if that is from the market leader, there has to be some indication
that the selection is treating this event seriously. That is the case
here. Cink lives by the course, went to University at Georgia Tech and
would dearly love to finally win this event. Motivation at Sugarloaf has
never been a problem for Cink and that is clear with six top-10 finishes
in the last seven years. Very short odds, but he has raised his game to
new levels, winning twice on Tour last year and motivation will be key
this week. Zach Johnson to win 18/1 e.w. @
BetInternet and
Victor
Chandler
Motivation will not be a problem for the defending champion either and
moreso this week than any other because of the scheduling of this event.
As much as the course itself (particularly notable in that the Tour
moves back to Bentgrass greens this week), the motivation from being
defending champion leads to a strong performance in this event. In the
last four years the defending champion has finished 3rd, 4th, 3rd and
6th. On the back of successive finishes of 3rd, 8th and 8th this month,
Johnson should continue the fine record of defending champions in this
event. Luke Donald to win 18/1 e.w. @
Expekt
Donald may be expected to suffer from the late Monday finish more than
most as he had been the leader with one round to play and only finished
one shot out of a playoff, but it was his first start in a month so he
should instead be fresher than most and at the age of 27, fatigue should
not be a factor yet. There are plenty of positives that he can take from
last week, particularly in how he played on the back nine after a very
frustrating first nine holes on Monday and he is in extremely good form.
In seven starts this year, he has finished inside the top-13 in all but
one of them. A top-10 finish last year showed that he can master this
course where putting is far more important than driving and he really is
one of the best young players on the Tour at the moment. |