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Spread Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Andy

Odds: Spreads

Booz Allen Classic

Finishing Positions (0.5 Pt Stakes)

Bets:   6   Wins:   3   Losses:  3   Profit/Loss = 0.75 Pts. A winning week here (just) but not by much and not to absorb the loss in Holland. Campbell's birdie run on the back 9 on Sunday ultimately put paid to that possibility.

Pre Round Four Trades

Buy Geoff Ogilvy at 35 with
Spreadex M/U 33, Loss 1 Pt
39 players are within 4 shots of the lead today and that makes for a very interesting night over on the exchanges. Ogilvy is tied with a few players just outside that list and I feel that 35 is just a little low considering what he has in front of him. With regards to other bets, anything can really happen today as it did yesterday. From a 50 M/U in waiting, Campbell was at one point tied 2nd but ended up outside the Top 10 after all the other players who went out late had played. We have 6 players today who could all conceivably be losers or all winners and the difference between both is not that wide. All the prices on our interests are about right so if anyone didn't fancy the volatility involved I wouldn't talk you out of closing. To do so just now on the five traded players would provide a break even week roughly but the value call is to let it run. 

Pre Round Three Trades

Buy Bo Van Pelt at 31 with
Spreadex M/U 42.5, Profit 5.75 Pts

Buy Stuart Appleby at 32 with Spreadex M/U 9.5, Loss 11.25 Pts

Buy Chad Campbell at 39 with Spreadex M/U 16.5, Loss 11.25Pts

Buy Retief Goosen at 25.5 (Spread Free) with Spreadex M/U 50, Profit 12.25 Pts
Four trades where the price is low even although we have the perfect cut line of 70 players which isn't the best situation for FP Buyers. Goosen sits 43rd, Campbell 54th, Van Pelt and Appleby 30th, so if they perform as they have done the first two days we should come out of this event ok.

Pre Round Two Trades

Buy Billy Mayfair at 26 with IG Sport M/U 38.5, Profit 6.25 Pts
Arguably a couple of points too low. Mayfair is currently T12 with 9 others but has a later tee time today and there are enough quality players in this event. All in all, worth a trade at 25. He certainly has been in good form of late but there are some big numbers being shot on this course and in events where it isn't just a birdie fest buying a player at 25 or less with three rounds to go has some value when their current M/U is not too much below that.