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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Neil

Odds: Matchups

Canadian Open

 

FINAL RESULT

 

Estes was beaten by Baird

Palmer (mc) was beaten by Gore

Pampling was beaten by Crane

 

Bets: 3     Wins: 0     Losses: 3     Profit/Loss = -6.00 pts

 

 

 

Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts)

 

 

Bob Estes to beat Briny Baird                   -110 @ William Hill

On the h2h stats Estes is favoured (3-years: 29-20-3, 1-year: 13-4-2, 3-months: 1-2-2). Only over the past 3 months does Baird show ahead, but this

revolves around a couple of weeks in July when Baird was in top form with finishes of 14th and 18th. Since then Baird has missed the cut in 50% of his

starts. Estes has taken the last three weeks off so should be refreshed, is the better "shot-maker" and likes playing in this event (never been out of the

top 15 in is last four starts and leads Baird 3-0). Estes in my eyes is clearly the better player and see no reason why he should be level on odds with

Baird.

 

Ryan Palmer to beat Jason Gore               -114 @ Expekt

Palmer was tipped to go close last week, including here, and maybe the expectation got to him a little. His first round stats were very poor (50% driving

accuracy and 1.818 putts per GIR). However, his second round stats were far more encouraging (driving accuracy 64% and 1.727 putts per GIR). I am

willing to give Palmer a chance to redeem himself as he is a player with a lot of promise. A lot was made of Gore winning three consecutive tournaments 

on the Nationwide tour to get a promotion to the PGA tour but he has missed the cut in almost 60% of his starts on the tour and since winning his

promotion he hasn't set the heather alight with finishes of 73 and 67. There is little h2h stats to go with here but Palmer is a far better player and I don't

believe that Gore will be suited by this type of course.

 

 

Further Matchup bet: (Total Stake 2pts)

 

 

Rod Pampling to beat Ben Crane                   -110 @ Victor Chandler

Crane's form over the past few weeks has deteriorated significantly and it could get worse here. He is not accurate off the tee, has even worse GIR

stats and is usually saved by his putting. But a good putting ability is generally of reduced value on courses with smaller greens. Pampling has decent

if a bit erratic current form and has decent GIR stats. Looking at courses of similar style to this, in the Nissan this year Pampling finished 31st (Crane

was 69th) and in the Wachovia he finished 28th (Crane missed the cut). Also in his last 3 visits to Canada he has finished 5th, 30th and 22nd.

Note: -115 is available at Centrebet without no tie.