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Canadian Open
FINAL RESULT Estes was beaten by Baird Palmer (mc) was beaten by Gore Pampling was beaten by Crane
Bets: 3 Wins: 0 Losses: 3 Profit/Loss = -6.00 pts Matchup bets: (All bets: Total Stake 2pts)
Bob Estes to beat Briny Baird -110 @ William Hill On the h2h stats Estes is favoured (3-years: 29-20-3, 1-year: 13-4-2, 3-months: 1-2-2). Only over the past 3 months does Baird show ahead, but this revolves around a couple of weeks in July when Baird was in top form with finishes of 14th and 18th. Since then Baird has missed the cut in 50% of his starts. Estes has taken the last three weeks off so should be refreshed, is the better "shot-maker" and likes playing in this event (never been out of the top 15 in is last four starts and leads Baird 3-0). Estes in my eyes is clearly the better player and see no reason why he should be level on odds with Baird. Ryan Palmer to beat Jason Gore -114 @ Expekt Palmer was tipped to go close last week, including here, and maybe the expectation got to him a little. His first round stats were very poor (50% driving accuracy and 1.818 putts per GIR). However, his second round stats were far more encouraging (driving accuracy 64% and 1.727 putts per GIR). I am willing to give Palmer a chance to redeem himself as he is a player with a lot of promise. A lot was made of Gore winning three consecutive tournaments on the Nationwide tour to get a promotion to the PGA tour but he has missed the cut in almost 60% of his starts on the tour and since winning his promotion he hasn't set the heather alight with finishes of 73 and 67. There is little h2h stats to go with here but Palmer is a far better player and I don't believe that Gore will be suited by this type of course.
Further Matchup bet: (Total Stake 2pts)
Rod Pampling to beat Ben Crane -110 @ Victor Chandler Crane's form over the past few weeks has deteriorated significantly and it could get worse here. He is not accurate off the tee, has even worse GIR stats and is usually saved by his putting. But a good putting ability is generally of reduced value on courses with smaller greens. Pampling has decent if a bit erratic current form and has decent GIR stats. Looking at courses of similar style to this, in the Nissan this year Pampling finished 31st (Crane was 69th) and in the Wachovia he finished 28th (Crane missed the cut). Also in his last 3 visits to Canada he has finished 5th, 30th and 22nd. Note: -115 is available at Centrebet without no tie. |