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Outright Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

Deutsche Bank Championship

FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts

Johnson mc
Rose 27th
Palmer mc

Two poor performances and a poor performance from Rose when it mattered. Within two shots of a top-5 place, he three-putted on the 15th hole in the last round and then hit his next tee-shot in the water to record a double-bogey. Very poor.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Zach Johnson to win 40/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
He may have played poorly over the weekend, but his 2nd round 63 that included a double-bogey was enough evidence that he is capable of prolonging the form that had resulted in finishes of 2nd, 17th and 9th in his previous three tournaments. A repeat of last year's top-15 finish should be in order this week.

Justin Rose to finish in the top-five 8/1 @ Expekt  [w/o Woods & Singh market]
Woods & Singh finished in the first two positions last year and with Woods having finished in the top-5 every time since missing the cut in the Byron Nelson Championship in May, it very hard to see Woods out of the top-5 and defending champion, Singh, should have a better than evens chance of continuing his record of finishing in the top-5 on this course every time. So that means with only three of five places likely to be available in the standard place-betting markets, this market is certainly of note. There is a very good chance that a top-7 finish will result in a payout, which is good news with Rose who still has difficulty closing out events. He showed that last week, but he doesn't need to do that in a place-only market. In good form and with a 3rd place finish in 2003 on this course, he should be able to attain a top-7 finish.

Ryan Palmer to finish in the top-five 10/1 @ Expekt  [w/o Woods & Singh market]
Palmer held the first-round lead last year and though he slipped down the leaderboard after each round thereafter, it was his 3rd-best finish in 27 starts to date last year and was the springboard to a runners-up finish and then a win the following month. Finally, he is showing some of that form again with a 2nd place finish in the B.C. Open and, again a very much stronger field, a 3rd place finish in the NEC Invitational in his last start. With the knowledge that he can play well on this course - it does particularly suit long-hitters like Palmer and Rose - he should be confident of a similar strong showing this week.