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Outright Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Outright

Ford Championship at Doral

FINAL RESULT: 0-4; -6.00pts

Love mc
Choi 64th
Clark 16th
Cink 26th

Disappointing return on the event when Clark had been around the top-five all week. He had been well-placed on Sunday, but his chances ended when he took four shots to get down from the edge of the third green.

 

Further outright play (total stake: 1.5pts)

Stewart Cink to win 25/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
It’s a rather impressive leaderboard with Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Vijay Singh all in the top-5 and Retief Goosen just one shot further back. So it was a good job that Tim Clark was advised at a place-only bet! He currently lies in joint-5th position so could still provide a very healthy return on the event. However, one player who sits beside him in 5th place is also worthy of attention: Stewart Cink.

Simply put, if he had not hit two balls into the water on his last hole of the first round, he would have been in sole 2nd place, one shot behind Mickelson. That he didn’t let it affect him and he shot 65 in the 2nd round is testimony to the far stronger player that he is now mentally than when he came so close in the 2001 U.S. Open. Ranked 3rd in greens in regulation and 10th in putts per greens in regulation, he is playing well enough to at least challenge Mickelson and overcome the difficult handicap that he set himself on Thursday.

 

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Davis Love to win 28/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Love has become a player to consider when the Tour moves into the Florida Swing. He skipped this event last year after playing in the final of the Accenture Matchplay Championship, but began his Florida Swing with a 2nd place finish in the Honda Classic in which he looked favourite to beat Todd Hamilton until the last hole. The previous season, he started with Florida Swing with a 12th place finish here and then finished 2nd and 1st in the next few weeks. So clearly he is able to manage the transition to Bermuda greens and with five finishes of 7th or better in his last ten starts and a couple of decent finishes behind him in the last month, he could certainly be a challenger here again.

K.J. Choi to win 66/1 e.w. @ Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Paddy Power and Ladbrokes
Has been playing solidly recently with a number of high finishes, including a 3rd place position with one round to play in the FBR Open and only played one round in the Accenture Matchplay Championship last week so will be better prepared for this event than a lot of players. So having finished 5th in this event last year and having won in Florida in 2002, these looks fair odds.

Tim Clark to finish in the top-five 14/1 @ Expekt
Had hoped for better place odds on Clark, but 14s is sufficient for a player who has shown great form this season already. He followed up a repeat win in the South Africa with finishes of 2nd and 4th in his next two PGA Tour events to show that he is more than capable of securing a top-5 finish this week. He did well on his debut here last year to be 6th after the first round, but coasted over the weekend after a poor 2nd round took him out of contention. The fact that he has played well on this course, albeit for just his opening round last year, is encouraging. It is also encouraging that he didn't spend too long in California last week so with finishes of 6th and 11th in his last two Florida outings last year, he should certainly feature again this week.