Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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FUNAI Classic
FINAL RESULT: 1-2;
+7.20pts
Calcavecchia 8th
Ogilvy 3rd
Baird mc
A nice profit on the event, but not the bumper payout that
had been hoped for when both Calc and Ogilvy had started the final day in 2nd
place. Ogilvy only had to par the last hole from the middle of the fairway to
earn a full payout and 2nd place, but he couldn't manage that ... precisely why
he was a place-only bet!
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Mark Calcavecchia to win 100/1 e.w. @
SkyBet,
BetInternet and BetFred
Big price for a player who won wire-to-wire in the Canadian Open last month and
then proved that he could take on the big boys to lie 4th after two rounds of
the American Express Championship. He did falter over the weekend, but it was
his best performance in a WGC strokeplay event for five years and it has lifted
him into 27th place on the Money List and he should be playing in the Tour
Championship for the first time since 2001. And he does look set to continue his
fine form into this week. The lengthening of the course will not harm a player
who can be long off the tee when needed - he averaged 304.25 yards last week -
and he finished 6th on his debut in this event last year despite being in poor
form - a best of 35th since the Open Championship and a failure to reach the
weekend in four of his six previous events. At the start of this event last
year, he ranked 129th on the Money List, so the improvement in his game this
year is plain enough.
Geoff Ogilvy to finish in the top-five 12/1 @
Centrebet
Had been very tempted by BetFred 125/1 on Carlos Franco, but will opt for two
place-only plays to complete the selections for this event. Ogilvy returned to
action after a six-week layoff at Greensboro and make the cut, but he was
clearly returning to his former competitiveness when he next teed it up: last
week in Las Vegas. Although he faltered in the final round, he had been 7th
heading into that round and very much in contention. And that is what he has
been in this event for the last two years when he has finished in the top-10 on
both occasions. With the added motivation of a potential place in the Tour
Championship - he currently ranks 37th in the Money List - another high finish
could well be achieved. Briny Baird to finish in the top-five 25/1 @
Centrebet
In many ways, last week showed why Baird should be a place-only bet rather than
each-way, but he deserves some attention after the way that he responded to his
meltdown on Saturday when in the lead: he was eight-under-par for his first ten
holes and eventually finished 8th, having fallen from 1st to 43rd in the 3rd
round. If he had not done so, he would almost certainly have lost his Tour Card,
having started the week in 132nd position in the Money List. Now he is 116th and
should be safe with at least one more cut made. But he should be aiming far
higher after the way that he restored some belief in his game last week and
particularly how he performed in this event last year. He held the lead after
the 2nd and 3rd round and it was only Ryan Palmer's closing 62 that denied him
victory - he finished 2nd. The same result would be very profitable this year at
these odds. |