| Pre Round One Trades Bets: 4, Wins 2,
Losses 2, Loss = 9.75 Pts. Herron went backwards on Sunday along
with Pettersen but Pettersen and Frazar were too far up the leaderboard
to give any hope of a profit.
Buy Tim Herron FP
at 33 with
Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 50, Profit 8.5
Pts
Buy Carl Pettersen FP at 38 with
Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 17.5, Loss 10.25 Pts
Buy Jason Bohn FP at 35 with
Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 50, Profit 7.5
Pts
Buy Harrison Frazar at 36 with
IG Sport for 0.5
Pts M/U 5, Loss 15.5 Pts
Ok, 4 bets to get into to try and get back last weeks losses. Herron
is in an excellent run of form, having finished 15/4/6 in the last 3
events played. Looking back over the year though he has played in
bursts. At the pro am time of year he went 17/6/4 before a M/U at 50 in
his next event, then he went 6/11/21 in April only to follow with a 50
M/U again. Possibly he suffers from a little contention mental letdown
but on full year form 33 is a good price, with the above info it puts a
little cherry on the top.
Big Carl is a bit hit and miss recently, throwing in 5 Top 20's along
with 4 50 M/Us since late summer. His yearly form though shows a lot
more 50 M/Us than not with 67% maximum M/Us in his other events before
the recent run.
Bohn has played well of late, throwing in 3 Top 3's in his last 10
events, including a win. All things considered though, 35 is the right
side of value.
Frazar had done nothing until September with only two Top 20's to his
name. Since then, he has finished 17/8/3 to get to 96th in the money
list. Given that he has now made his career safe I am betting that
mental letdown kicks in and he has an off week after all the effort.
Certainly even allowing for that, 36 is fair given his stats over the
year.
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