Chrysler Classic of Greensboro

0-6,-7.75pts.

Jobe performed well but Choi was in inspired form and ran away with it really.

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Update after round 3:

Looks like Jobe will have to at least shoot a 3rd consecutive round in the mid sixties to have a chance of winning this. In case he does get in contention then, with his record of near misses, it is wise to look to hegde out for a profit.

Lay Brandt Jobe 10pts @3 - unmatched

Lay Brandt Jobe 20pts @2 - unmatched

Lay Brandt Jobe 20pts @1.5 - unmatched

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Update after round 2:

Back Brandt Jobe 1.25pts @85

Jobe has been knocking on the door this season and he really should have his maiden win in the bag by now. He didn't actually play that much better tee to green for his 65 on Friday than he did in his 72 on Thursday: the difference was 27 putts compared to 32. If his putter stays hot then at only 5 shots back from Huston he can fire his way in to contention here and hopefully he will have learned something about winning tournaments from his near misses earlier in the season.

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Update:

Back Tom Lehman 1.5pts e/w @66/1 at VCbet, Hills 

I've swithered all week about backing Lehman here. Looking just at the figures it is a no brainer: 2nd at Sawgrass, 13th at Augusta and 23rd at St Andrews this year shows that he is still a force in the game. His form has tailed off a bit recently, but this is the part of the calendar where he really clicked last season stringing together 2nd, 4th and 6th place finishes in quick succession. The 4th was here at the CCG, and looking further back he has a fantastic record in this event - finishing in the top 25 in each of his 5 starts.

As I said, it all looks great from that angle, but the worry is what happens should he get in contention. That he failed to win any of the events around this time last year when he was in superb form is rather damning. Memories of being edged out by the likes of Brent Geiberger and Andre Stolz are not something you want to be surfacing in your mind when trying to close out a golf tournament.

I can't bring myself to go for him on a win only basis, so am passing up the 75 on Betfair for an e/w bet at the slightly lower odds of 66/1. The place part of 16.5/1 is excellent value and I will also be recommending hedging out on the win part should he reach short odds.

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Back Loren Roberts 0.75pts @150

This is an event which some 'old timers' have won in the past and so hopefully Roberts can be another one. Still think he will be on a high after his major win on the Champions Tour and he did ok at the Canadian Open, finishing 40th on his return to the main tour. Has a bit of course form here with a 14th place 3 years ago. 

Back Billy Andrade 0.75pts e/w @200/1 at Ladbrokes

July and August was a tough spell for Andrade as he missed 4 consecutive cuts. I think he may have taken the foot off the pedal after a good early season saw his tour card guaranteed for next year (he made it right on the bubble by only one spot last season). He has refound his form in September though with a 15th at the Deutsche Bank and 24th in Canada. It is no coincidence that these performances came straight after his good friend Brad Faxon's late charge to victory at the Buick Championship: 

"I think Brad and I have fed off each other our whole careers, and to see him win like that just inspires me even more," Andrade said. "If you can't get inspired by what he did, then you don't have a pulse because that was awesome the way he won that tournament."

Andrade finished top 5 in two consecutive years here back in 96/97. Since then the course has changed, but it seems he is also a fan of those changes:

"I really like what Davis (Love) did to the course, and it's now more like a Pinehurst course," Andrade said about of Love's redesign three years ago. "Before it was more like a northern course, but I think now after he opened it up, it just suits my eye a little better."

Back Darron Stiles 0.25pts e/w @250/1 at Ladbrokes

Stiles has been showing some promise with a number of decent finishes lately and could be set to make the big breakthrough. Think this is far too big a price and well worth taking a chance on.

Back Jay Delsing to finish in the top five 0.75pts @40/1 at Centrebet

His late surge to an 8th place finish last week indicates that he might have just struck a bit of form. In 6 previous attempts here he has missed the cut 5 times - not a great endorsement, however all those missed cuts predate the aforementioned course changes. Last year he managed a very respectable 19th here and hopefully he will build on that this time round.