Outright Picks - PGA Tour
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Memorial
FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts
Furyk 8th
Perry 24th
Olazabal 45th The winning run comes to an end. It looked a lost cause
as early as Friday, but Furyk gave some hope with a 64 on Saturday and
being four-under-par after five holes of the final round to get within a
couple of shots of the lead. But then a bogey rather than a birdie at
the next par-five and it was all a lost cause again! Further
outright play (total stake: 1.5pts) Jose Maria Olazabal to finish
in the top-five 15/1 @
Centrebet
and
SuperOdds
Basing this play on the correlation between Memorial form and Masters
form ... Before this year, Olazabal had finished outside
the top-15 in the Masters only three times in his last fifteen visits
and had been a winner in 1994 and 1999. He did miss the cut this year,
but having missed two very short putts to win the BellSouth Classic –
once on the 72nd hole and once in the playoff the previous
week, a reaction was to be expected. He has played in this event only
once in recent years (2003) and on that occasion he was 3rd
with just one round to play before falling back to 10th after
a final round 75. He should contend again, though his experience in 2003
and again when faced with winning opportunities this year suggest the
place-only play is the best value bet. Outright
plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts) Jim Furyk to win 22/1 e.w.
@
GolfingGods
(20/1 generally available)
Every champion since 1994 bar one has been a major champion AND
finished in the top-4 at the Masters, with
most Memorial champions also being Masters champions as well. Furyk fits
into that category having won this title in 2002, won the U.S. Open in
2003 and finished 4th in the Masters on two occasions. Jack Nicklaus
built this course to resemble Augusta National and the roll call of
winners shows that he achieved that aim. And given that Furyk has
finished 2nd in two of his last four starts and broken 70 in nine of his
last ten rounds, he is clearly playing well enough to contend here again
and at least record his fourth top-5 finish here. Kenny
Perry to win 33/1 e.w. @
GolfingGods
(28/1 available at Boyle Sports)
There is normally an exception to every rule and Kenny Perry is that
exception for this tournament. He is not a major champion and he has a
very poor record in the Masters, but he did win this event in 2003 and
has further finishes of 6th and 7th in the last
four years. For a player to have won twice in the first five months of
the year and so rank in the top-5 of the Money List and have a very good
record around the host course and be priced at 33/1 is very unusual. It
should not last! |